Barrow vs Wealdstone: match statistics
Barrow vs Wealdstone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barrow played Wealdstone in National League (England). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: SO Legal Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Barrow: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Wealdstone: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barrow scores 1.64 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Wealdstone scores 1.45 and concedes 1.45. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barrow 55%, Wealdstone 64%. Over 2.5: Barrow 64%, Wealdstone 55%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Barrow has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.30. Barrow: 10.4 shots per match, Wealdstone: 8.8.
Match halves
Barrow: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.18. Wealdstone: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Barrow: 76-90+ (7 goals). Wealdstone: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barrow have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 5, while Wealdstone have won twice and recorded a 9:8 goal difference over the same period. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.61, while the visitors post 1.11 away from home, pointing to Barrow’s advantage in chance quality. The gap is also reflected in shots on target: Barrow average 4.5 at home compared with Wealdstone’s 3 away. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal per game at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an xG of 1.73. However, Wealdstone average 1.6 goals away from home, so despite Barrow’s edge, a home win is far from guaranteed.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 60% of their matches, providing a solid basis for backing BTTS - Yes. Barrow average 1.4 goals and Wealdstone 1.6, while both teams have failed to score in only 20% of their matches. The hosts’ chances are boosted by their average xG of 1.50, compared with the 1.73 xG conceded by the visitors. Wealdstone also have attacking credentials: they have averaged 1.8 goals across their last 5 matches, although Barrow have conceded just 1.0 over that period. This latter figure tempers confidence in the prediction, but both teams’ season-long 60% BTTS rate suggests each side is likely to score at least once.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 80% of matches involving both teams, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Barrow average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Wealdstone score 1.6 and concede 1.2, pointing to goalscoring potential at both ends. Over their last five matches, Barrow averaged 2.0 goals scored, while Wealdstone conceded 1.6; additionally, Barrow’s xG is 1.5, compared with 1.73 xG conceded by the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in more than 60% of matches for both teams, but the two-goal threshold offers a clearer edge, especially with the projected total at 3.05 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Barrow win is the most likely outcome. In their last five matches, both teams were level at the break three times, while Barrow did not concede a first-half goal in any of those games. The hosts’ current form supports a home win: they have collected 10 points from five matches, compared with Wealdstone’s six, and won three times against the visitors’ two victories. Barrow have recently averaged 1.4 goals per match after the break, while Wealdstone have conceded 1.2, increasing the likelihood of a decisive result in the second half. The visitors have a better record over the full season, but their recent form and the fact that Barrow’s last five matches have all featured a second-half goal support the X/1 HT/FT pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barrow | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barrow is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Barrow · 1.4 pts / match - Wealdstone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barrow is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Barrow · 1.45 goals / match - Wealdstone
Barrow is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Barrow · 1.45 goals / match - Wealdstone
Barrow scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Wealdstone scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barrow
Over / Under - Wealdstone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wealdstone is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Barrow · 1.36 pts / match - Wealdstone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barrow
Wealdstone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Barrow | Liga | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 18% | • 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 87% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Barrow vs Wealdstone?
The National League match finished Barrow 2:1 Wealdstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barrow vs Wealdstone?
Barrow score 1.64 goals per game on average and Wealdstone 1.45. The National League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Barrow's matches and 64% of Wealdstone's.
What form are Barrow and Wealdstone in?
Over the last 5 games Barrow have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Wealdstone 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barrow vs Wealdstone?
The statistical background for Barrow vs Wealdstone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.