Barycz Sułów vs Polkowice: match statistics

Barycz Sułów have a clearly stronger home profile: they have won 75% of their matches, averaging 2.25 goals scored and conceding just 0.50 per game. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home fixtures, while their opponents from Polkowice have failed to score in 33% of away matches. Polkowice do produce a slightly higher average xG away from home—1.41 compared with Barycz’s 1.36 at home—but they also allow opponents an xG of 1.06, compared with just 0.87 for the hosts. Both teams have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five league matches, so the visitors can pose a threat; however, Barycz’s defensive advantage and home efficiency point towards a home win. An additional argument is Barycz’s home goal difference of +7, while Polkowice have only +1 away from home.

Barycz Sułów have recorded BTTS in 100% of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals, but they have also kept no clean sheets and conceded 2.25 goals per match. Polkowice have a BTTS rate of 67%, while their average of 1.33 goals scored aligns well with the hosts’ defensive problems, with Barycz conceding an average of 1.65 xG. The hosts should also create chances against their opponents: they average 1.85 xG and 6.25 shots on target per match, while Polkowice allow an average of 1.06 xG. However, the current form of Barycz weakens the signal for both teams to score, as BTTS occurred in only 20% of their last 5 matches, in which the team conceded just 1.0 goal per match. Despite this defensive improvement, the combination of the hosts’ highly potent attack and their seasonal vulnerability at the back gives a moderate edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Barycz Sułów score an average of 3.00 goals and concede 2.25 in home matches, with at least 3 goals scored in each of these games. Polkowice average 1.33 goals per away match, while the hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet, further strengthening the visitors’ chances of scoring. The last 5 matches present a more cautious picture: Barycz average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Polkowice average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, meaning the projected total of 2.53 goals does not strongly support the high 3.5 line. At the same time, 60% of the teams’ last five matches went over 2.5 goals, and Polkowice’s expected xG stands at 1.44 compared with the 1.00 xG allowed by Barycz. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of the hosts’ attacking data and Barycz’s vulnerable defence makes at least two goals highly likely.

Barycz Sułów have won 75% of their matches to date, compared with a 33% win rate for Polkowice, while the hosts have averaged 3.00 goals per game versus 1.33 for the visitors. The hosts’ advantage is already evident before half-time: they have led at the break in 50% of their matches and averaged 1.50 first-half goals, whereas Polkowice have failed to score in this period and have been level at half-time in as many as 67% of cases. Barycz also create more chances, recording an xG of 1.85 and 6.25 shots on target per match, compared with Polkowice’s xG of 1.41 and 4.67 shots on target. The last five matches have been more evenly balanced, with both teams winning 60% of their games, although the hosts have collected 1.8 points per match in the second half compared with 1.4 for their opponents. The most likely HT/FT outcome therefore remains Barycz leading at the break and securing a full-time victory, although the high proportion of half-time draws also increases the likelihood of an X/1 turnaround.