Basel vs Young Boys: match statistics
Basel vs Young Boys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Basel played Young Boys in Super League (Switzerland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Basel: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Young Boys: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Basel scores 1.52 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Young Boys scores 1.97 and concedes 1.81. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basel 61%, Young Boys 68%. Over 2.5: Basel 58%, Young Boys 74%. League level: BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Basel has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.67. Basel: 15.9 shots per match, Young Boys: 14.6.
Match halves
Basel: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.81. Young Boys: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Basel: 31-45+ (10 goals). Young Boys: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Basel (3rd) holds a clear advantage in key home metrics: at home they concede on average 0.8 goals per match and record an average xG of 1.91, while Young Boys (6th) concede on average 2.31 goals away and have an xG against of 1.68 — a defensive differential of roughly 1.51 goals. The visitors are strong offensively across the season (61 goals scored and a shot conversion rate of 12% versus Basel’s 47 goals and 8%), but on the road they register fewer shots on target than the hosts (4.44 vs 6.07) and carry a negative away goal difference (-11). In the short term Basel have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals, equating to an average of 2.4 points per game, whereas Young Boys have 3 wins and 9 goals in their last five with an average of 2.0 points per game. Additionally Basel keep a clean sheet in 33% of home matches, while Young Boys have only 6% clean sheets away, which further favors the hosts and supports backing a Basel win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes at 72% probability because seasonal and league indicators strongly support both teams scoring: Basel have BTTS in 60% of matches, Young Boys in 75%, and the league records 68% of fixtures with both teams scoring. Attacking and defensive metrics confirm this picture — Basel average 2.33 goals at home while Young Boys concede 2.31 on the road; conversely Young Boys score 1.63 goals per match and Basel concede 1.27. A simple Poisson model based on seasonal goal averages (2.33 and 1.63) estimates roughly a 73% chance that both teams will score, and xG analysis (approx. 1.78 for Basel vs 1.39 for Young Boys) corroborates high goal potential. Additionally, Young Boys have only 6% clean sheets away (i.e., they concede in ~94% of away matches), while Basel keep a clean sheet in 40% of games — this increases the likelihood that each side will be breached. Considering recent goal runs (last 5 matches: Young Boys 9 goals = 1.8 avg, Basel 8 goals = 1.6 avg) and high percentages of matches over 2.5 goals (73% and 75%), the strongest signal from the data is Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculated expected goals as the average of the home attack and away defense: Basel has home xG 1.88 and Young Boys concede 1.68 xG away, yielding ~1.78 goals for the hosts; Young Boys have away xG 1.47 and Basel allow 1.30 xG at home, yielding ~1.39 for the visitors — total ~3.17. Season-long figures confirm a propensity for goals: Basel scores on average 2.33 goals at home, Young Boys 1.63 away, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 73% for Basel and 75% for Young Boys. Both teams often score in the same match: BTTS rate is 60% for Basel and 75% for Young Boys; additionally Basel averages 6.33 shots on target versus 4.44 for Young Boys, suggesting an exchange of chances. Considering the expected 3.17 goals and historical 73–75% over 2.5 rates, the strongest signal from the data is to play Over 2.5 goals. I assess Over 1.5 as almost certain (~95%), while Over 3.5 has moderate chances (~45%) given the xG sum below 3.5 and season-long over 3.5 values around 47–50%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Basel appears favored to have the lead at the break: the home side led at half-time in 47% of matches and average 0.93 goals in the first half while conceding 0.47, whereas Young Boys led at half-time in 25% of fixtures and conceded an average of 1.13 first-half goals. Over the full match Basel score 2.33 goals with an xG of 1.88 and a shooting efficiency of 15%, while Young Boys have 1.63 goals, xG 1.47 and 12% efficiency; the hosts also average 6.33 shots on target versus 4.44 for the visitors. In the second half Basel average 1.4 goals and concede 0.8, while Young Boys record 1.0 scored and 1.19 conceded, giving the hosts an advantage in maintaining or extending a lead; additionally Basel have a 53% win rate compared to Young Boys’ 31%. Although both teams often score (BTTS 60% for the hosts vs 75% for the visitors), the first- and second-half statistics suggest the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of Basel leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) is strongest, so I estimate 1/1 at about 30%, X/1 about 17% and 2/2 about 9%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basel | Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Basel is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Basel · 2 pts / match - Young Boys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Young Boys is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Basel · 1.97 goals / match - Young Boys
Basel is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Basel · 1.81 goals / match - Young Boys
Basel scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Young Boys keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Young Boys scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basel
Over / Under - Young Boys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Basel is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Basel · 1.42 pts / match - Young Boys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Young Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Basel
Young Boys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Basel | Liga | Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.77 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 68% | • 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 18% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Basel 1 - 1 - 0 Young Boys. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Basel vs Young Boys?
The Super League match finished Basel 3:3 Young Boys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Basel and Young Boys?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Basel won 1, Young Boys won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Basel vs Young Boys?
Basel score 1.52 goals per game on average and Young Boys 1.97. The Super League average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Basel's matches and 68% of Young Boys's.
What form are Basel and Young Boys in?
Over the last 5 games Basel have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Young Boys 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basel vs Young Boys?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.