Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town: match statistics
Basingstoke Town exhibits solid home form, boasting a 45% win rate on their own turf and failing to score in just 18% of fixtures. The hosts possess significantly superior offensive metrics at home (averaging 1.36 goals, xG 2.37) compared to Bracknell's lackluster away attack (0.9 goals average, xG just 0.66). Bracknell Town wins a mere 20% of away matches and concedes an average of 1.9 goals per game; coupled with a -10 away goal difference, this highlights severe defensive vulnerabilities. Although the visitors hold better current form (2.2 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their away statistics pale in comparison to Basingstoke's home performance. The hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 51%) and significantly higher shooting efficiency (averaging 10 shots on target vs 1.33) further support a victory for Basingstoke Town.
Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Basingstoke Town played Bracknell Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Basingstoke Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Bracknell Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Basingstoke Town scores 1.41 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Bracknell Town scores 1.57 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basingstoke Town 68%, Bracknell Town 70%. Over 2.5: Basingstoke Town 59%, Bracknell Town 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Basingstoke Town has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.22. Basingstoke Town: 0.5 shots per match, Bracknell Town: 3.0.
Match halves
Basingstoke Town: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Bracknell Town: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Basingstoke Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). Bracknell Town: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Basingstoke Town exhibits solid home form, boasting a 45% win rate on their own turf and failing to score in just 18% of fixtures. The hosts possess significantly superior offensive metrics at home (averaging 1.36 goals, xG 2.37) compared to Bracknell's lackluster away attack (0.9 goals average, xG just 0.66). Bracknell Town wins a mere 20% of away matches and concedes an average of 1.9 goals per game; coupled with a -10 away goal difference, this highlights severe defensive vulnerabilities. Although the visitors hold better current form (2.2 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their away statistics pale in comparison to Basingstoke's home performance. The hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 51%) and significantly higher shooting efficiency (averaging 10 shots on target vs 1.33) further support a victory for Basingstoke Town.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basingstoke Town | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -36% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 4.10 | 0.41 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 2.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bracknell Town is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Basingstoke Town · 2.6 pts / match - Bracknell Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bracknell Town is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.57 goals / match - Bracknell Town
Basingstoke Town is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.83 goals / match - Bracknell Town
Basingstoke Town scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Bracknell Town keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Bracknell Town scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
Over / Under - Bracknell Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bracknell Town is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.26 pts / match - Bracknell Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bracknell Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Basingstoke Town
Bracknell Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Basingstoke Town | Liga | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.05 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Bracknell TownGoalJack McDowell
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Basingstoke Town 0 - 0 - 1 Bracknell Town. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Basingstoke Town 2:1 Bracknell Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?
Basingstoke Town score 1.41 goals per game on average and Bracknell Town 1.57. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Basingstoke Town's matches and 70% of Bracknell Town's.
What form are Basingstoke Town and Bracknell Town in?
Over the last 5 games Basingstoke Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bracknell Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.