Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Basingstoke Town is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a four-game losing streak, although they perform slightly better at home (41% win rate this season). Dorchester Town is in significantly better shape with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, but their away record remains poor (25% wins, 44% losses). A key factor is Dorchester's high away draw percentage (31%) and similar xG metrics for both teams, suggesting an evenly matched game. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' average away results, a sharing of the points is the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Basingstoke a marginally better chance of winning than Dorchester.
Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Basingstoke Town played Dorchester Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Basingstoke Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Dorchester Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Basingstoke Town scores 1.30 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Dorchester Town scores 1.24 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basingstoke Town 67%, Dorchester Town 61%. Over 2.5: Basingstoke Town 61%, Dorchester Town 55%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Basingstoke Town has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.19. Basingstoke Town: 1.6 shots per match, Dorchester Town: 0.8.
Match halves
Basingstoke Town: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67. Dorchester Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Basingstoke Town: 76-90+ (12 goals). Dorchester Town: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Basingstoke Town is in terrible form with only 0.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a four-game losing streak, although they perform slightly better at home (41% win rate this season). Dorchester Town is in significantly better shape with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches, but their away record remains poor (25% wins, 44% losses). A key factor is Dorchester's high away draw percentage (31%) and similar xG metrics for both teams, suggesting an evenly matched game. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' average away results, a sharing of the points is the most likely scenario, although the slight home advantage gives Basingstoke a marginally better chance of winning than Dorchester.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basingstoke Town | Dorchester Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 11% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.94 | 13.78 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dorchester Town is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.6 pts / match - Dorchester Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Basingstoke Town is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.24 goals / match - Dorchester Town
Basingstoke Town scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Dorchester Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Dorchester Town scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
Over / Under - Dorchester Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dorchester Town is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Basingstoke Town · 1.15 pts / match - Dorchester Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dorchester Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Basingstoke Town
Dorchester Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Basingstoke Town | Liga | Dorchester Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.09 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Basingstoke Town 0 - 0 - 1 Dorchester Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Basingstoke Town 1:1 Dorchester Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
Basingstoke Town score 1.30 goals per game on average and Dorchester Town 1.24. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Basingstoke Town's matches and 61% of Dorchester Town's.
What form are Basingstoke Town and Dorchester Town in?
Over the last 5 games Basingstoke Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Dorchester Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?
The statistical background for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.