Bastia vs Nancy: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this match. Bastia shows better form in the last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 39%); however, their home record is poor (22% win rate, -7 goal difference). Nancy has a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 6%) and a higher away win percentage (30% vs Bastia's 22% at home), but their poor recent form (PPG 1.0) and high rate of goals conceded (1.6 per match) pose a problem. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering Bastia's difficulties at home and Nancy's instability away, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form.
Bastia vs Nancy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bastia played Nancy in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bastia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nancy: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bastia scores 0.55 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Nancy scores 0.90 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bastia 25%, Nancy 40%. Over 2.5: Bastia 20%, Nancy 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Nancy has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.21. Bastia: 11.1 shots per match, Nancy: 11.9.
Match halves
Bastia: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.25. Nancy: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Bastia: 16-30 (3 goals). Nancy: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this match. Bastia shows better form in the last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 39%); however, their home record is poor (22% win rate, -7 goal difference). Nancy has a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 6%) and a higher away win percentage (30% vs Bastia's 22% at home), but their poor recent form (PPG 1.0) and high rate of goals conceded (1.6 per match) pose a problem. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering Bastia's difficulties at home and Nancy's instability away, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bastia | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bastia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bastia · 1.2 pts / match - Nancy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nancy is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Bastia · 0.9 goals / match - Nancy
Bastia is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Bastia · 1.45 goals / match - Nancy
Bastia scores in 40% of matches (8 of 20 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Nancy scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bastia
Over / Under - Nancy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nancy is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bastia · 1.35 pts / match - Nancy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bastia
Nancy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Bastia | Liga | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bastia 0 - 0 - 1 Nancy. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bastia vs Nancy?
The Ligue 2 match finished Bastia 0:0 Nancy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bastia vs Nancy?
Bastia score 0.55 goals per game on average and Nancy 0.90. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Bastia's matches and 40% of Nancy's.
What form are Bastia and Nancy in?
Over the last 5 games Bastia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nancy 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bastia vs Nancy?
The statistical background for Bastia vs Nancy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.