Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway: match statistics

Plymouth Parkway are in clearly better form: they have won 4, drawn 1 and lost none of their last five matches, while Bath City have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats. The visitors scored 17 goals during this period, averaging 3.4 per match, compared with Bath City’s 11, which points to greater attacking consistency. The difference is also evident defensively, as Plymouth Parkway conceded 8 goals in five matches, while the hosts conceded as many as 12. Their average points return from the last five matches stands at 2.6 for the visitors and 1.2 for Bath City, further supporting the away side. Bath City are capable of finding the net, but given their alternating results and weaker defensive record, a Plymouth Parkway victory is the more likely outcome.

The latest form clearly supports goals at both ends: Bath City recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Plymouth Parkway did so in 60%. The hosts scored an average of 2.2 goals during this period but also conceded 2.4, indicating significant defensive vulnerability. Plymouth Parkway scored as many as 17 goals in five games—an average of 3.4 per match—so they should be able to exploit their opponent’s defensive problems. Bath City created an average of 1.25 xG, and with their defence allowing 2.01 xG per match, a BTTS - Yes outcome is more likely than either team keeping a clean sheet.

Bath City’s last five matches produced an average of 4.6 goals, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. Plymouth Parkway are even more attacking: they scored 17 goals in five appearances, averaging 3.4, while conceding 1.6 goals per match. The 2.5-goal line was exceeded in all five of Bath City’s last matches and in 80% of Plymouth Parkway’s games during the same period, while Bath City recorded both teams to score in 100% of those matches. Even with a cautious downward adjustment to the very high scores from this short run, the projected total of 3.85 goals clearly supports Over 1.5, which is the safest signal.

Plymouth Parkway are in significantly better form: they have averaged 2.6 points per game over their last five matches, winning 80% of them and remaining unbeaten, while Bath City have lost 60% of their fixtures. The visitors averaged 3.4 goals scored during this period, whereas the hosts conceded as many as 2.4 per game, creating a strong attacking advantage for the away side. Both teams were ahead at half-time in 60% of their recent matches, but Plymouth Parkway averaged 2.0 goals after the break compared with just 0.6 for Bath City. The visitors won the second half in all five of their last matches, keeping a clean sheet after the break in 60% of them, while Bath City failed to score after half-time in 60% of their fixtures. The most likely scenario is therefore Plymouth Parkway taking the lead at the break and maintaining or extending their advantage by the final whistle.