Bath City vs Uxbridge: match statistics

Bath City average 62% possession at home, register 18 shots per match and create chances worth 1.88 xG, while Uxbridge allow opponents 1.92 xG away from home. However, the hosts convert just 6% of their shots and average only 1 goal at home, which limits their advantage in chance creation. Uxbridge remain unbeaten in four matches this season, while in their last five fixtures they have scored 13 goals and collected an average of 2.2 points per match, compared with Bath City’s 1.4. Both teams concede 0.5 goals per match in their respective conditions and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches, so well-organised defences could neutralise their opponents’ strengths. With Bath City holding a clear advantage in terms of game control, but Uxbridge showing superior recent efficiency, a draw is the most likely outcome.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the current form of both teams, as Bath City and Uxbridge have each recorded this outcome in 60% of their last 5 matches. Uxbridge have recently scored an average of 2.6 goals per match and created chances worth 1.81 xG, while Bath City concede an average of 1.2 goals despite an excellent 0.66 xG allowed to opponents. The hosts should also create scoring opportunities, as their season average stands at 1.73 xG, while Uxbridge’s defence allows as much as 1.92 xG per match. Both teams also register plenty of shots on target—7.0 and 6.0 per match, respectively—which increases the likelihood of at least one goal for each side. The signal is not conclusive, as both teams keep a clean sheet in 50% of their season matches, but their attacking potential and recent results slightly tilt the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.

The record from the last five matches indicates goal-scoring potential from both sides: Bath City averaged 1.2 goals, while Uxbridge scored as many as 2.6. During this period, Uxbridge created chances worth 1.81 xG per match, while Bath City’s defence allowed opponents just 0.66 xG, which limits the projection for a very high-scoring game but does not rule out goals for the visitors. The hosts have a favourable matchup between their average xG and the opponent’s defensive record: Bath City posted 1.73 xG compared with the 1.92 xG that Uxbridge conceded on average. In both teams’ last 5 matches, at least 2 goals were scored in all 5 games, while the 2.5 line was covered in only 40% of their matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as the expected 2.60 goals provides a clear margin above this line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Uxbridge victory at full-time, as the visitors have not lost any of their last five matches, winning 60% of them and scoring an average of 2.6 goals. Uxbridge were level at the break in 40% of their recent matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals after half-time, while Bath City managed only 0.4 goals in that period. Bath do have a perfect record in their home matches so far, averaging 3.5 goals scored, but their recent form is clearly weaker: 1.4 points per game and a 40% loss rate across their last five appearances. The hosts’ defence allows an average xG of 0.68, but Uxbridge generate 1.38 xG and average six shots on target, supporting the prospect of a turnaround after an evenly matched first half. In addition, the visitors have not lost a single second half in their last five matches, while Bath City failed to score after the break in 60% of that period.