Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars: match statistics
Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayelsa United played Kano Pillars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Bayelsa United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kano Pillars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayelsa United scores 0.84 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Kano Pillars scores 0.90 and concedes 0.90. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayelsa United 48%, Kano Pillars 32%. Over 2.5: Bayelsa United 26%, Kano Pillars 29%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Kano Pillars has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.23. Bayelsa United: 6.7 shots per match, Kano Pillars: 2.6.
Match halves
Bayelsa United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35. Kano Pillars: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Bayelsa United: 16-30 (6 goals). Kano Pillars: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayelsa United possess a clear home advantage — higher possession (57%), more SoT and higher xG (1.51) with lower average goals conceded (0.87). Hosts also show lower FTS (27%) and a solid recent points record. Kano Pillars have a better overall season balance, but poor away form — low efficiency (0.47 goals away), high away loss rate (73%) and 60% matches without scoring. Despite better PPG in the visitors’ last five, the hosts’ goal advantage and game control at home suggest higher chances for Bayelsa. The forecast is based on xG, attacking performance and defensive stability comparisons.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data point to clear home defensive advantage and visitors' low attacking efficiency, favoring NO. Bayelsa United have high CS rate (56%) and significantly more shots and xG than Kano Pillars, while guests register 60% matches without scoring. Season BTTS rates are low (31% and 33%) and league avg 37% does not support high BTTS. SoT gap (6 vs 2) and clear xG superiority confirm likely one-sided scoreline; recommend NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows Bayelsa’s strong attacking edge (xG_for_home 2.25) and high expected goals conceded by Kano (xG_against_away 1.82), giving expected home goals ~2.04 and total ~2.93. Shot metrics (17.7 avg for Bayelsa vs 7.1 for Kano) and SOT (6.0 vs 2.0) confirm home offensive pressure. Kano’s low efficiency and weak away scoring reduce the chance of an extremely high score (over 3.5). Season Over 2.5 rates are moderate, but near-3 total favors Over 1.5 and moderately supports Over 2.5. Recommendation: play Over 1.5 as the strongest signal based on xG and shot stats.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows a clear Bayelsa United advantage — high home win rate (69%), season home PPG 2.25 and strong xG_for_avg_home 2.25 suggest dominance in chance creation. Hosts led at HT in 44% of matches and have a high HT scoring average (0.81) with very good HT defensive stats (concededAVGHT_home 0.25 and seasonCSPercentageHT_home 75%), increasing the likelihood of leading at the break and holding the result. Kano Pillars display weak offensive and overall form (winPercentage_away 7%, xg_for_avg_away 1.04) and often trail at HT (trailingAtHTPercentage_away 47%), limiting comeback chances. The strongest scenario is hosts leading at HT and winning at FT (1/1), with HT draw then home win (X/1) as the second most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayelsa United | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 13% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.54 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 2.57 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kano Pillars is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 2 pts / match - Kano Pillars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kano Pillars is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.9 goals / match - Kano Pillars
Kano Pillars is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.9 goals / match - Kano Pillars
Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Kano Pillars keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Kano Pillars scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
Over / Under - Kano Pillars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kano Pillars is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.35 pts / match - Kano Pillars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kano Pillars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayelsa United
Kano Pillars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bayelsa United | Liga | Kano Pillars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.87 | 1.89 | • 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 37% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 38% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayelsa United 0 - 1 - 0 Kano Pillars. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?
The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 4:1 Kano Pillars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?
Bayelsa United score 0.84 goals per game on average and Kano Pillars 0.90. The NPFL average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Bayelsa United's matches and 32% of Kano Pillars's.
What form are Bayelsa United and Kano Pillars in?
Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kano Pillars 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars?
The statistical background for Bayelsa United vs Kano Pillars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.