Bayelsa United vs Rivers United: match statistics
Rivers United, the league leaders with an impressive record of 12 wins and just 2 defeats this season, appear to be the favorites; however, their away form raises serious doubts. The visitors draw a staggering 73% of their away matches and in their last 5 away games, they have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive draws. Bayelsa United, despite being 17th in the table, display solid home performances with a 38% win rate and a 60% ball possession advantage, as well as a superior xG ratio (1.58 vs the visitors' 0.99). The recent form of both teams is poor – the hosts are winless in their last 5 matches, while Rivers United have suffered 2 defeats in that period. Considering Rivers United's clear tendency to draw away and Bayelsa's solidity at their own stadium, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Bayelsa United vs Rivers United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayelsa United played Rivers United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bayelsa United: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Rivers United: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayelsa United scores 0.85 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Rivers United scores 0.88 and concedes 0.54. League average: 1.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayelsa United 52%, Rivers United 38%. Over 2.5: Bayelsa United 26%, Rivers United 17%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 25%.
xG, shots and style
Rivers United has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.27. Bayelsa United: 6.4 shots per match, Rivers United: 8.0.
Match halves
Bayelsa United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.37. Rivers United: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Bayelsa United: 61-75 (6 goals). Rivers United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 25%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rivers United, the league leaders with an impressive record of 12 wins and just 2 defeats this season, appear to be the favorites; however, their away form raises serious doubts. The visitors draw a staggering 73% of their away matches and in their last 5 away games, they have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive draws. Bayelsa United, despite being 17th in the table, display solid home performances with a 38% win rate and a 60% ball possession advantage, as well as a superior xG ratio (1.58 vs the visitors' 0.99). The recent form of both teams is poor – the hosts are winless in their last 5 matches, while Rivers United have suffered 2 defeats in that period. Considering Rivers United's clear tendency to draw away and Bayelsa's solidity at their own stadium, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayelsa United | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rivers United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.8 pts / match - Rivers United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rivers United is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.54 goals / match - Rivers United
Bayelsa United scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 63% (15 of 24 matches).
Rivers United scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
Over / Under - Rivers United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayelsa United is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.04 pts / match - Rivers United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rivers United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayelsa United
Rivers United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bayelsa United | Liga | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.93 | 1.82 | ▼ 1.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 26% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 39% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayelsa United 1 - 0 - 0 Rivers United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Rivers United?
The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 1:0 Rivers United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Rivers United?
Bayelsa United score 0.85 goals per game on average and Rivers United 0.88. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Bayelsa United's matches and 38% of Rivers United's.
What form are Bayelsa United and Rivers United in?
Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Rivers United 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Rivers United?
The statistical background for Bayelsa United vs Rivers United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.