Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Bayelsa United holds a clear advantage as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive +2 goal difference at their own stadium. Warri Wolves display a weak away form with merely a 29% win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in their road matches. The hosts dominate in ball possession (58% on average) and generate better xG figures (1.49 vs 1.26 for the visitors). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 points per game each), but Bayelsa boasts significantly better stats in home fixtures. Warri Wolves lose a staggering 57% of their away games, which further speaks in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tough but victorious match for Bayelsa United, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayelsa United played Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Bayelsa United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Warri Wolves: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayelsa United scores 0.83 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Warri Wolves scores 0.93 and concedes 0.93. League average: 1.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayelsa United 48%, Warri Wolves 38%. Over 2.5: Bayelsa United 24%, Warri Wolves 28%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Warri Wolves has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.22. Bayelsa United: 6.3 shots per match, Warri Wolves: 5.3.
Match halves
Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.34. Warri Wolves: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Bayelsa United: 61-75 (6 goals). Warri Wolves: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.87 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayelsa United holds a clear advantage as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive +2 goal difference at their own stadium. Warri Wolves display a weak away form with merely a 29% win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in their road matches. The hosts dominate in ball possession (58% on average) and generate better xG figures (1.49 vs 1.26 for the visitors). The recent form of both teams is similar (1.2 points per game each), but Bayelsa boasts significantly better stats in home fixtures. Warri Wolves lose a staggering 57% of their away games, which further speaks in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tough but victorious match for Bayelsa United, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayelsa United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.93 goals / match - Warri Wolves
Warri Wolves is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.93 goals / match - Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
Warri Wolves scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayelsa United is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.03 pts / match - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bayelsa United | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.86 | 1.87 | • 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 36% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 38% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayelsa United 0 - 0 - 1 Warri Wolves. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 2:1 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
Bayelsa United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.93. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Bayelsa United's matches and 38% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Bayelsa United and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Warri Wolves 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.