Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen is the decisive favorite for this encounter. The hosts present impressive home form with 64% of matches won and an average of 2.18 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.91 goals. Particularly significant is the fact that Leverkusen has kept a clean sheet in 55% of home matches and has not failed to score at home this season (0% FTS). Mainz 05 struggles greatly away from home, with only 18% wins, averaging as many as 2.18 goals conceded per match and failing to record a single clean sheet in away games. The difference in expected goals (xG: 1.75 for Leverkusen vs 1.14 for Mainz) and the advantage in possession (62% vs 40%) further confirm the hosts' dominance. The goal difference of both teams (+14 for Leverkusen in home matches vs -11 for Mainz away) unequivocally points to a victory for the hosts.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayer Leverkusen played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mainz 05: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayer Leverkusen scores 1.95 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.13 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayer Leverkusen 55%, Mainz 05 57%. Over 2.5: Bayer Leverkusen 59%, Mainz 05 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bayer Leverkusen has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.34. Bayer Leverkusen: 13.8 shots per match, Mainz 05: 11.4.
Match halves
Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.73. Mainz 05: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (11 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen is the decisive favorite for this encounter. The hosts present impressive home form with 64% of matches won and an average of 2.18 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.91 goals. Particularly significant is the fact that Leverkusen has kept a clean sheet in 55% of home matches and has not failed to score at home this season (0% FTS). Mainz 05 struggles greatly away from home, with only 18% wins, averaging as many as 2.18 goals conceded per match and failing to record a single clean sheet in away games. The difference in expected goals (xG: 1.75 for Leverkusen vs 1.14 for Mainz) and the advantage in possession (62% vs 40%) further confirm the hosts' dominance. The goal difference of both teams (+14 for Leverkusen in home matches vs -11 for Mainz away) unequivocally points to a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayer Leverkusen | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.13 goals / match - Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.65 goals / match - Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.22 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayer Leverkusen | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.23 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 64% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Bayer LeverkusenSubstitutionOn: Christian Michel KofaneOff: Ignacio Ezequiél Agustín Fernández Carballo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 - 0 Mainz 05. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05?
Bayer Leverkusen score 1.95 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.13. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 57% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Bayer Leverkusen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mainz 05 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.