Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen demonstrates significantly better form and quality compared to St. Pauli. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 2, which gives them 2.6 points per game. At home, Leverkusen boasts an impressive 60% win rate, averages 2 goals per match, and keeps a clean sheet in half of their games. St. Pauli is in 17th place in the table with a disastrous away record – just 9% wins, 73% losses, and a goal difference of -9. The visitors average only 0.82 goals away from home, while conceding 1.64 goals, and fail to score in 36% of their matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.76 vs 1.12), as does the advantage in ball possession (61% vs 44%) and shot accuracy. All these factors clearly point to a certain victory for Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayer Leverkusen played St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. St. Pauli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayer Leverkusen scores 1.95 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. St. Pauli scores 0.95 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayer Leverkusen 60%, St. Pauli 57%. Over 2.5: Bayer Leverkusen 60%, St. Pauli 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Bayer Leverkusen has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.25. Bayer Leverkusen: 13.8 shots per match, St. Pauli: 10.6.
Match halves
Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.70. St. Pauli: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (11 goals). St. Pauli: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen demonstrates significantly better form and quality compared to St. Pauli. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 2, which gives them 2.6 points per game. At home, Leverkusen boasts an impressive 60% win rate, averages 2 goals per match, and keeps a clean sheet in half of their games. St. Pauli is in 17th place in the table with a disastrous away record – just 9% wins, 73% losses, and a goal difference of -9. The visitors average only 0.82 goals away from home, while conceding 1.64 goals, and fail to score in 36% of their matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.76 vs 1.12), as does the advantage in ball possession (61% vs 44%) and shot accuracy. All these factors clearly point to a certain victory for Bayer Leverkusen.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayer Leverkusen is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1 pts / match - St. Pauli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 0.95 goals / match - St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.67 goals / match - St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
St. Pauli scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under - St. Pauli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 0.9 pts / match - St. Pauli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayer Leverkusen
St. Pauli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayer Leverkusen | Liga | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 - 0 St. Pauli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 St. Pauli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen score 1.95 goals per game on average and St. Pauli 0.95. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 57% of St. Pauli's.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli in?
Over the last 5 games Bayer Leverkusen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and St. Pauli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.