Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: match statistics
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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayern München play RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Allianz Arena.
Current form
Bayern München: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. RB Leipzig: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayern München scores 3.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. RB Leipzig scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayern München 60%, RB Leipzig 20%. Over 2.5: Bayern München 80%, RB Leipzig 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.83 vs 2.06. Bayern München: 23.4 shots per match, RB Leipzig: 19.0.
Match halves
Bayern München: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 2.20. RB Leipzig: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Bayern München: 46-60 (4 goals). RB Leipzig: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayern München is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Bayern München · 1.8 pts / match - RB Leipzig
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
3.2 goals / match - Bayern München · 3 goals / match - RB Leipzig
Bayern München is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Bayern München · 1 goals / match - RB Leipzig
Bayern München scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
RB Leipzig scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayern München
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Bayern München · 1.8 pts / match - RB Leipzig
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayern München | Liga | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.82 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bayern München 2 - 0 - 0 RB Leipzig. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Bayern München and RB Leipzig play?
Bayern München face RB Leipzig on 17 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Allianz Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and RB Leipzig?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bayern München won 2, RB Leipzig won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Bayern München score 3.20 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 3.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bayern München's matches and 20% of RB Leipzig's.
What form are Bayern München and RB Leipzig in?
Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and RB Leipzig 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.