Bayern München vs Stuttgart: match statistics

Bayern München enter the match on the back of a five-game winning streak, scoring 13 goals during that period—an average of 2.6 per match. Stuttgart are also highly effective in front of goal, having scored 17 times in their last five matches, but they have won only 3 of those games, drawing once and suffering one defeat. The hosts sit 3rd in the table, while Stuttgart are only 16th, which clearly favors Bayern when comparing the overall quality of the two teams. Stuttgart’s defense has looked slightly better recently, conceding 5 goals compared with Bayern’s 6; however, the hosts’ perfect haul of 15 points from their last five league matches gives them a significant mental and competitive advantage. An open game with goals at both ends is expected, but Bayern’s greater consistency points to a home win.

The strongest signal is Bayern’s form, with BTTS landing in 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 1.2. Stuttgart also show significant attacking potential: they scored 17 goals in five appearances, averaging 3.4 per match, with an xG of 2.07. Bayern created an average of 2.03 xG, while their opponents generated 0.98 xG against them, giving Stuttgart a realistic route to finding the net. The visitors kept a clean sheet in only some of their recent matches, conceding an average of 1.0 goal, while BTTS landed in 60% of games during this period. Both teams are in strong scoring form, making the scenario in which each side scores at least one goal more likely.

Both teams have been highly efficient in attack over their last five matches: Bayern averaged 2.6 goals, while Stuttgart averaged as many as 3.4. Combined, this amounts to 30 goals scored across 10 matches, with 11 goals conceded, indicating an open profile for this fixture. Bayern recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last five matches, compared with 80% for Stuttgart, while the hosts saw both teams score in each of those games. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: 2.03 for Bayern and 2.07 for Stuttgart, while their average xG conceded stands at 0.98 and 1.27, respectively. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as a projected total of 3.47 goals means that even moderately efficient finishing should produce at least two goals.

Bayern have won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 1.2, while Stuttgart have recorded three wins over the same period, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The hosts held a lead at the break in 80% of these matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time, while Stuttgart led in 75% of their games and averaged 1.75 first-half goals. Bayern’s advantage stems primarily from their perfect run of five wins and home advantage, although the visitors’ attacking form reduces confidence in a one-sided scenario. After the break, Bayern score an average of 1.2 goals, while Stuttgart average as many as 2.0, so an open match and a potential turnaround by the visitors remain realistic. Nevertheless, the most likely outcome is for Bayern to lead at half-time and maintain their advantage until the end: 1/1.