Bayern München vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite in this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts are showing impressive form with an 85% win rate at home, averaging 4 goals scored per game, and a goal difference of +39 in home matches. Union Berlin exhibits significant problems in away matches – only 31% wins, 54% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 31% of their away games, while Bayern did not record a single goal-less match at home. The difference in ball possession (66% vs 39%), shot accuracy (20% vs 8%), and expected goals (xG 2.43 vs 1.34) clearly favors the hosts. Considering Bayern's home dominance and Union's poor away form, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Bayern München vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayern München played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Bayern München: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Union Berlin: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayern München scores 3.58 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.19 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayern München 65%, Union Berlin 58%. Over 2.5: Bayern München 96%, Union Berlin 54%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.27 vs 1.32. Bayern München: 18.6 shots per match, Union Berlin: 12.2.
Match halves
Bayern München: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 2.04. Union Berlin: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Bayern München: 76-90+ (27 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite in this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts are showing impressive form with an 85% win rate at home, averaging 4 goals scored per game, and a goal difference of +39 in home matches. Union Berlin exhibits significant problems in away matches – only 31% wins, 54% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 31% of their away games, while Bayern did not record a single goal-less match at home. The difference in ball possession (66% vs 39%), shot accuracy (20% vs 8%), and expected goals (xG 2.43 vs 1.34) clearly favors the hosts. Considering Bayern's home dominance and Union's poor away form, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayern München | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayern München is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Bayern München · 1.2 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 201% better for: goals scored per match.
3.58 goals / match - Bayern München · 1.19 goals / match - Union Berlin
Bayern München is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Bayern München · 1.62 goals / match - Union Berlin
Bayern München scores in 100% of matches (26 of 26 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayern München
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.12 pts / match - Bayern München · 1.08 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (27 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +18 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayern München
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayern München | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.54 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 96% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayern München 0 - 1 - 0 Union Berlin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayern München 4:0 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
Bayern München score 3.58 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.19. The Bundesliga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Bayern München's matches and 58% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Bayern München and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Union Berlin 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.