BB Bodrumspor vs Bandırmaspor: match statistics

Bandırmaspor sit 9th and have won 3 of their 9 matches, while 15th-placed BB Bodrumspor have managed just one win. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 5 for the hosts, and average 5 shots on target per away match, against Bodrumspor’s 3.8 at home. The hosts’ defensive record is their main strength: they concede an average of 0.8 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches, although opponents create chances worth an average of 1.59 xG against them. Bandırmaspor allow opponents a lower xG of 1.16 away from home and concede just 0.5 goals per match, giving them a slight edge in the forecast. A draw remains a realistic possibility, however, as the visitors have drawn 3 of their 4 away matches so far.

In the last 5 matches involving these teams, both sides scored in only 20% of games, well below the league average of 53%. BB Bodrumspor have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches, while Bandırmaspor have done so in 50% of their away games, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. The visitors concede an average of just 0.5 goals away from home, while the hosts have failed to score in 40% of their home matches. Although the teams' xG figures are 1.67 and 1.34 respectively, their recent defensive records—averaging 0.8 and 0.6 goals conceded over the last 5 matches—support the BTTS - No pick. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean the match will finish 0-0.

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line was met in 80% of Bodrumspor’s matches and 100% of Bandırmaspor’s matches in the data. Both teams concede relatively few goals on average—0.6 and 0.5 per match, respectively—and only 20% of each team’s last five matches went over 2.5 goals. The hosts average 6.6 shots on target compared with 5.0 for the visitors, while Bandırmaspor have recently scored 1.8 goals per match, so backing a very low-scoring game is not as reliable. The forecast of 2.20 total goals accounts for this attacking potential but still clearly points to Under 3.5 goals.

A draw at half-time and full-time is the most likely outcome: Bandırmaspor were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches, and 3 of those 4 games ended in a draw. Bodrumspor did lead at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, but they were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches overall, weakening the case for an early lead. The hosts hold the edge in average xG, 1.67 to the visitors’ 1.34, so a home win remains a significant alternative. However, the visitors’ second-half performances support the prospect of the score remaining level: they have not conceded after the break in away matches, while Bodrumspor have averaged 0.4 goals in the second half at home. Given the small sample of 4 away matches for the visitors, X/X has only a moderate edge over the other scenarios.