Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar: match statistics
Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Be'sat Kermanshah played Havadar in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Azadi Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Be'sat Kermanshah: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Havadar: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Be'sat Kermanshah scores 0.83 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Havadar scores 0.79 and concedes 0.55. League average: 1.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Be'sat Kermanshah 28%, Havadar 24%. Over 2.5: Be'sat Kermanshah 28%, Havadar 14%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Be'sat Kermanshah has higher xG: 0.93 vs 0.88. Be'sat Kermanshah: 0.4 shots per match, Havadar: 2.7.
Match halves
Be'sat Kermanshah: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.41. Havadar: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Be'sat Kermanshah: 0-15 (9 goals). Havadar: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.50 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Be'sat Kermanshah has a clear home advantage: they win 50% of home matches, average 1.21 goals scored and concede only 0.57 goals per home game, with a home goal difference of +9. Havadar away records just a 29% win rate and as many as 50% draws, scoring an average of 0.71 goals per away game; despite that, they have conceded fewer goals over the season (16) than Be'sat (22), maintaining 64% clean sheets on the road. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 3 goals each; Be'sat's form in that run is 2-2-1 (points per game 1.6), while Havadar are 1-4-0 (PPG 1.4), giving the hosts a slight form edge. Considering Be'sat's strong home record (50% wins, +9 GD), the visitors' low attacking output away (0.71 goals) and their propensity to draw (50%), I forecast a home win in a low-scoring game (average goals: home 1.79 vs away 1.29).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Historical indicators point to a low probability of BTTS: home BTTS occurred in 27% of matches, away in 21%, with a league average of 28%. Both teams record high clean sheet frequencies — 60% (home) and 64% (away) — and low average goals conceded: 0.53 and 0.57 per match, which favors No Goal outcomes. Offensively, the home side generates more (xG 1.03, 3.2 shots on target and 7.2 shots per match) compared to the visitors (xG 0.60, 1.4 shots on target and 3.6 shots), and the visitors’ conversion rate is lower (11% vs 17%). In the last 5 matches BTTS for the home team is 0% vs 20% for the away team, and 5-match averages are 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded per match for both sides, confirming low goal intensity. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is No BTTS — I estimate 78% for "no" and 22% for "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates 0.90 expected goals for Be'sat Kermanshah and 0.70 for Havadar, a combined 1.60 xG, calculated from home xG 1.03 vs away xG conceded 0.77 and away xG 0.60 vs home xG conceded 0.80. Both teams have a high clean sheet rate: 60% for the home side and 64% for the visitors, while BTTS rates are only 27% and 21%, which reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Season over 2.5 rates are just 13% (Be'sat) and 14% (Havadar), and neither team has produced an over 2.5 in their last 5 matches, making Under 2.5 the strongest signal (estimated 87% for under). Although the total xG 1.60 gives a slight edge to Over 1.5 (around 52%), the home team records more shots 7.2 vs 3.6 and more shots on target 3.2 vs 1.4 with conversion rates 17% vs 11%, which nonetheless does not translate into consistently high scores. Based on these figures I recommend backing Under 2.5 as the best and most predictable market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The analysis indicates the most probable scenario is 1/X (home team leads at Half-Time, draw at Full-Time). Home teams led at the break in 6 of 15 matches (40%), while away teams led at the break in only 1 of 13 (8%); homes score on average 0.53 goals in the first half versus 0.23 for visitors. Additionally, hosts have a clear xG advantage (1.03 vs 0.60), average 3.2 shots on target vs 1.4 and a conversion rate of 17% vs 11%, which increases the likelihood of a lead at the break. After the break both teams score a similar number of goals (0.33 vs 0.31), and the proportion of matches finishing level is high: homes draw in 60% of games, visitors in 50%, with 60%/64% of matches keeping clean sheets. Therefore 1/X appears the strongest HT/FT pick: the home side has a statistical advantage at Half-Time, but the high overall draw rate and an even second half make a turnaround likely and the match most probable to finish as a draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Be'sat Kermanshah | Havadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -76% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 2.27 | 0.32 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.92 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Be'sat Kermanshah is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Be'sat Kermanshah · 1.4 pts / match - Havadar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Be'sat Kermanshah is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Be'sat Kermanshah · 0.79 goals / match - Havadar
Havadar is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Be'sat Kermanshah · 0.55 goals / match - Havadar
Be'sat Kermanshah scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Havadar keeps a clean sheet in 62% (18 of 29 matches).
Havadar scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Be'sat Kermanshah keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Be'sat Kermanshah
Over / Under - Havadar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Havadar is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Be'sat Kermanshah · 1.34 pts / match - Havadar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Be'sat Kermanshah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Havadar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Be'sat Kermanshah
Havadar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Be'sat Kermanshah | Liga | Havadar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.59 | 1.50 | ▼ 1.34 |
| Both teams scored | • 28% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 28% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 45% | • 45% |
| Goal after half-time | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Be'sat Kermanshah 0 - 1 - 0 Havadar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar?
The Azadegan League match finished Be'sat Kermanshah 0:1 Havadar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar?
Be'sat Kermanshah score 0.83 goals per game on average and Havadar 0.79. The Azadegan League average is 1.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Be'sat Kermanshah's matches and 24% of Havadar's.
What form are Be'sat Kermanshah and Havadar in?
Over the last 5 games Be'sat Kermanshah have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Havadar 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar?
The statistical background for Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.