China - Chinese Super LeagueWorkers' StadiumData current as of 18 October 2026

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Beijing Guoan play Qingdao Youth Island in Chinese Super League (China). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Workers' Stadium.

Current form

Beijing Guoan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Qingdao Youth Island: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Beijing Guoan scores 1.93 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Qingdao Youth Island scores 1.15 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Beijing Guoan 63%, Qingdao Youth Island 59%. Over 2.5: Beijing Guoan 63%, Qingdao Youth Island 37%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Beijing Guoan has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.26. Beijing Guoan: 15.0 shots per match, Qingdao Youth Island: 11.1.

Match halves

Beijing Guoan: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.22. Qingdao Youth Island: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Beijing Guoan: 46-60 (11 goals). Qingdao Youth Island: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Chinese Super League: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.37)
(5.47)
(7.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
1.93Goals scored / match1.15
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
1.22Goals conceded / match1.33
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
59%Average possession45%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
5.44Shots on target / match3.44
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.04Shots per match11.11
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
5.44Shots on target3.44
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
12.8%Shot conversion10.3%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
59%Possession45%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
1.69xG for1.26
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
1.3xG against1.53
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

Shooting quality

Beijing Guoan: DominantQingdao Youth Island: Balanced
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Beijing Guoan is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Beijing Guoan · 1.2 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island

Beijing Guoan
WDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W37% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-5
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Qingdao Youth Island
DWDDL
Season result split
30% W52% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-14-5
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-4
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Beijing Guoan is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

1.93 goals / match - Beijing Guoan · 1.15 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island

Beijing Guoan is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Beijing Guoan · 1.33 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island

Beijing Guoan scoring profile: very strong

Beijing Guoan scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Qingdao Youth Island keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).

Qingdao Youth Island scoring profile: strong

Qingdao Youth Island scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Beijing Guoan keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).

52Goals scored (season)31
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
33Goals conceded (season)36
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
3.15Average goals in match2.48
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
10Goals scored (last 5)5
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal74%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
56%2 goals30%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
33%3 goals11%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
11%4 goals0%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal70%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
44%2 goals33%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
11%3 goals15%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
4%4 goals11%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
Qingdao Youth Island - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 27 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time22%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
37%Scored in both halves26%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
40%BTTS - last 540%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
41%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Beijing Guoan is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Beijing Guoan · 1.41 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island

Beijing Guoan - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Qingdao Youth Island - half-time state
30% leading52% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.41
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.52
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
0.96Average goals (1st half)1.04
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
81%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
48%No goal before half-time48%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
2.19Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
44%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island
22%No goal after half-time52%
Beijing GuoanQingdao Youth Island

Beijing Guoan - second-half results

41% W30% D30% L
48
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qingdao Youth Island - second-half results

30% W37% D33% L
38
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Beijing Guoan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Qingdao Youth Island - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Beijing Guoan
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
8
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
11
5
46-60
11
8
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Qingdao Youth Island
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
8
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.81
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Beijing Guoan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Qingdao Youth Island

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).

Teams vs league

Beijing GuoanLigaQingdao Youth Island
Average goals in match• 3.153.12▼ 2.48
Both teams scored• 63%63%▼ 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%58%▼ 37%
Clean sheets▲ 37%21%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%72%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%87%▼ 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 - 0 Qingdao Youth Island. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island FC
1 : 3
Beijing Guoan FC
Beijing Guoan FC
1 : 0
Qingdao Youth Island FC

FAQ

When do Beijing Guoan and Qingdao Youth Island play?

Beijing Guoan face Qingdao Youth Island on 18 October 2026 in Chinese Super League at Workers' Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Beijing Guoan and Qingdao Youth Island?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 2, Qingdao Youth Island won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Beijing Guoan score 1.93 goals per game on average and Qingdao Youth Island 1.15. The Chinese Super League average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Beijing Guoan's matches and 59% of Qingdao Youth Island's.

What form are Beijing Guoan and Qingdao Youth Island in?

Over the last 5 games Beijing Guoan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Qingdao Youth Island 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.