Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: match statistics

Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 3rd, while Beitar Jerusalem are only 12th, and the gap is also reflected in their recent form: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 2 wins for the hosts. Beitar lost their only home match so far, conceding as many as 4 goals while scoring just 1, whereas Maccabi won their away fixture and scored 2 goals. The visitors are clearly more clinical, converting 17% of their shots into goals compared with Beitar’s 8%, while also averaging 5 shots on target away from home versus 3 for the hosts. Although Beitar average 73% possession at home, this does not translate into higher-quality chances, as their average xG stands at 1.34 compared with Maccabi’s 1.51. The hosts’ vulnerable defence, which has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, should allow the in-form visitors to gain the upper hand.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is clear, as both teams have recorded goals from both sides in 100% of their matches so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Beitar averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Maccabi Petah Tikva scores 2.0 goals per match and concedes just 1.0, which supports the expectation of an away goal followed by a response from the hosts. In their last five matches, Beitar allowed opponents to score 2.2 goals per game, while Maccabi averaged 2.0 goals during the same period. The hosts also create plenty of chances, averaging 21.5 shots and 7.0 shots on target per match, while Maccabi's xG stands at 1.61, giving both attacks a solid foundation to find the net. The latest BTTS form—60% for Beitar and 80% for Maccabi—also exceeds or confirms the league average of 62%.

Both teams exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches so far, and in every game they both scored and conceded at least one goal. Beitar conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last five appearances, while Maccabi Petah Tikva scored 2.0 goals per match over the same period. Their attacking potential is also supported by recent xG figures: 1.60 for the hosts and 1.61 for the visitors, compared with 1.52 and 1.39 xG allowed by their opponents, respectively. The Over 2.5 line also has merit, having landed in 80% of Beitar’s last five matches and 100% of Maccabi’s games; however, Over 1.5 is clearly the safer choice with a projected 3.05 goals. This option is favored due to the high consistency of both attacks and the absence of a clean sheet on either side.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Maccabi Petah Tikva win at full-time, as the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding only 1.0. Over the same period, Beitar have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per match and have allowed opponents to score an average of 1.8 goals after the break, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of completing a turnaround late in the game. Maccabi were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 of 5 for Beitar, while both teams averaged just 0.6 goals scored in the first half. The visitors’ advantage is particularly evident after the interval: they won the second half in 60% of their recent appearances and scored an average of 1.4 goals in that period, compared with Beitar’s 0.8. Although the hosts attempt more shots, 21.5 compared with 12.0, their conversion rate is only 7%, whereas Maccabi convert 17% of their attempts, supporting the HT/FT X/2 scenario.