Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II: match statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beitar / Riga Mariners played Riga FC II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Riga FC II: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Riga FC II scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beitar / Riga Mariners 67%, Riga FC II 67%. Over 2.5: Beitar / Riga Mariners 33%, Riga FC II 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Beitar / Riga Mariners has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.36. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 14.0 shots per match, Riga FC II: 9.7.
Match halves
Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00. Riga FC II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 61-75 (3 goals). Riga FC II: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beitar / Riga Mariners record home xG of 1.9 and average 13 shots per game, 5 on target, whereas Riga FC II register just 0.53 xG away and only 3 shots (2 on target). The hosts have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches and average 2.0 points per game over that span; the visitors have 8 goals in their last 5 overall but average 0 goals per away match and have failed to score in all away fixtures. Defensively, the hosts concede 1.0 goal per home match (xG against 1.05), while the visitors concede 2.0 goals away with xG against 3.03, indicating greater defensive vulnerability on the road. Additionally, the hosts enjoy higher possession (53% vs 46%) and superior shot conversion (~8% vs 0%), translating to better quality chances and game control. Considering the xG 1.9 vs 0.53, 13 shots vs 3 and the hosts’ 2.0 PPG versus the visitors’ 1.2 PPG, I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (Both Teams To Score - Yes) because the league shows BTTS in 62% of matches, with the home side at a season rate of 100% versus 0% for the opponents, and both teams at 60% (3/5) in their last 5 fixtures. Beitar averages 1.78 xG per match and produces 13 shots (8 on target) with a season scoring average of 1.5 goals (5 goals this season), while Riga FC II concedes 3.03 xG and has conceded 6 goals this season, indicating the hosts have a realistic chance to score. Conversely, the visitors have 1.9 xG in the last 5 matches and average 1.6 goals per game (8 goals in the last 5), so they can respond despite a season scoring average of 0.0. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 9 and conceded 7, and the visitors have scored 8 and conceded 8, while the league averages 3.62 goals per match, suggesting open games and a higher likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on this I estimate BTTS probability at 75% vs 25% for No Goal, and recommend Yes as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project total expected goals at 3.66 (expected_goals_home 2.41 vs expected_goals_away 1.25). The calculation is based on xG: the home side have offensive xG 1.78 while their opponents concede 3.03 xG per match — the average of these values yields ~2.41 for the home team; similarly the visitors have offensive xG 0.53 versus 1.97 xG conceded to the hosts, resulting in ~1.25 for the away side. The home team averages 13 shots and 8 on target with a conversion rate of 12%, whereas the visitors manage only 3 shots and 2 on target, which supports a higher scoreline favoring the over. Additionally, the league averages 3.62 goals per match, the home side have 100% of matches over 2.5 this season, and a Poisson model for total xG ≈3.66 gives roughly an 88% probability of more than 1.5 goals and about 71% for over 2.5 goals. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side has a clear offensive advantage: home xG 1.78 versus 0.53 for the visitors, and on average 13 shots and 8 shots on target per match compared to 3 shots and 2 on target for the opponents. At half-time the hosts average 1.5 goals while the visitors average 0.0; the hosts have 5 goals at the break versus 1 for their opponents and led at the break in 50% of matches versus 0% for the visitors, which supports the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Over the season the hosts win 50% of matches, the visitors have 0% wins, and the visitors’ defense concedes an average of 3.03 xG per match, so a turnaround by the visitors is unlikely. Based on this I assign a 56% probability to the 1/1 scenario (hosts lead at HT and win FT); alternatives are 1/X 12% and X/1 14%, while turnaround scenarios (1/2, 2/2) I rate at 1–2% due to the visitors’ low offensive potential. Additionally, the xG and shot metrics (1.78 vs 0.53 and 13 vs 3) suggest the hosts will not only take a lead at the break but have the resources to maintain it through to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 60% | 62% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 1 pts / match - Riga FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 1 goals / match - Riga FC II
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 2 goals / match - Riga FC II
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Riga FC II scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Over / Under - Riga FC II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 1.33 pts / match - Riga FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beitar / Riga Mariners
Riga FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Liga | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 3.46 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalAlgirdas Gražis
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalMatiss Caune
- Riga FC IIGoalNazar Prudchenko
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Beitar / Riga Mariners 0 - 2 - 0 Riga FC II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II?
The 1. Liga match finished Beitar / Riga Mariners 2:2 Riga FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Beitar / Riga Mariners and Riga FC II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Beitar / Riga Mariners won 0, Riga FC II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II?
Beitar / Riga Mariners score 1.67 goals per game on average and Riga FC II 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's matches and 67% of Riga FC II's.
What form are Beitar / Riga Mariners and Riga FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Beitar / Riga Mariners have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Riga FC II 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II?
The statistical background for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.