Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene: match statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beitar / Riga Mariners played Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Smiltene: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 1.83 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.33 and concedes 3.50. League average: 3.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beitar / Riga Mariners 83%, Smiltene 50%. Over 2.5: Beitar / Riga Mariners 67%, Smiltene 83%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Beitar / Riga Mariners has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.05. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 13.8 shots per match, Smiltene: 7.7.
Match halves
Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00. Smiltene: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Beitar / Riga Mariners: 61-75 (5 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.38 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beitar / Riga Mariners appear to be the favorites: they sit 4th with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded this season, while Smiltene are 12th with 8 scored and 21 conceded. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 and conceded 7 (2 wins, 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game), whereas the visitors have scored only 5 and conceded 18 (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, averaging 0.4 pts per game). The hosts create higher-quality chances: average xG for 1.48 versus xG against 1.17, 10 shots per game and 4 on target with a 15% conversion rate, while Smiltene posts xG for 1.00 and xG against 2.91, 7.67 shots and 4 on target with 13% efficiency. The visitors’ defence is the main weakness – on the road they concede on average 5.0 goals per game and have 67% of away matches without scoring, whereas the hosts concede 1.5 goals at home on average and remain unbeaten this season (0 losses). Given the superior xG, higher possession (51% vs 39%) and clearly worse form and defence of the opponents, I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a bias towards BTTS - Yes driven by the home side's form and the visitors' defensive frailty: Beitar has 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches and a season BTTS rate of 67%, while Smiltene has recorded zero clean sheets (0%) and concedes an average of 5.0 goals per game this season. In the last 5 fixtures Beitar posts an average xG of 2.15 and scored 10 goals (2.0 per game), and the season home xG is 1.11, demonstrating an ability to create chances and a high conversion rate of 22%. Smiltene averages 1.0 goal per game this season with a low conversion rate of 13%, despite averaging 4.0 shots on target per game, which provides them with some but limited scoring opportunities. Additionally, the league shows a high BTTS level at 61% and the home side has over 2.5 in 67% of matches, both factors supporting goals from both teams. Countering this, 67% of Smiltene’s matches are over 2.5 without BTTS (i.e. frequent heavy defeats without scoring), which reduces the weight of the BTTS forecast. Overall, considering the home side’s 100% BTTS short-term form, the visitors’ very weak defense (5.0 conceded on average) and Smiltene’s moderate but real chance-creation, I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% and recommend BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics point to high goal potential: Beitar / Riga Mariners average 1.67 goals per game (xG 1.11), while Smiltene average 1.00 goal with xG 1.00 but concede as many as 5.0 goals per game. In the last 5 matches the hosts had average xG 2.15 and scored 10 goals (2.0 per game), whereas Smiltene conceded 18 goals in five games (3.6 per game) and have 0% clean sheets this season. Season-long metrics show 67% of hosts' matches over 2.5 and 100% for the visitors, and the league averages 3.54 goals per game, further supporting the over side. The xG model (expected goals 2.01 for hosts and 1.55 for guests = 3.56 total) yields roughly a 69% chance for Over 2.5 and ~87% for Over 1.5; taking form and seasonal percentages into account (last 5: 80% Over 2.5 for both) I adjust this to a 78% projection for Over 2.5. Consequently I recommend the Over 2.5 line as the strongest signal due to the hosts' high finishing efficiency (22% shot conversion), the visitors' significant defensive vulnerability (5.0 conceded per game, 18 in the last 5) and Smiltene's absence of clean sheets (0%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Beitar/Riga Mariners led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), averaging 0.8 goals at half-time and conceding 0.4, while Smiltene averaged 0.2 goals at half-time and conceded 2.0. After 90 minutes the hosts averaged 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches and won 40% of games, whereas the visitors scored 1.0 goal and recorded no wins (0%), indicating a full-game advantage for the hosts. Additionally, the hosts have an xG of 1.11 versus 1.00 for the visitors and a higher shot conversion rate of 22% versus 13%, suggesting greater efficiency in turning chances into goals. Considering the hosts' half-time advantage (60%) and superior full-match metrics, the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) — approximately 42%. Alternatives: a draw at half-time followed by a hosts' win (X/1) is assessed at ~11%, while a turnaround from the visitors leading at the break to a visitors' win (2/1) is unlikely (~4%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 0.4 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 1.33 goals / match - Smiltene
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 3.5 goals / match - Smiltene
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Smiltene scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 1176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners · 0.17 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Smiltene - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -9 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beitar / Riga Mariners
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Beitar / Riga Mariners | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.38 | ▲ 4.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Beitar / Riga Mariners 2 - 0 - 0 Smiltene. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Beitar / Riga Mariners 1:0 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Beitar / Riga Mariners and Smiltene?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Beitar / Riga Mariners won 2, Smiltene won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
Beitar / Riga Mariners score 1.83 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.33. The 1. Liga average is 3.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's matches and 50% of Smiltene's.
What form are Beitar / Riga Mariners and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Beitar / Riga Mariners have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Smiltene 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene?
The statistical background for Beitar / Riga Mariners vs Smiltene — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.