Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: match statistics
Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Belasitsa played Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Belasitsa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Belasitsa scores 0.58 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas scores 1.21 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Belasitsa 38%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 46%. Over 2.5: Belasitsa 38%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 29%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.12. Belasitsa: 8.8 shots per match, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 8.6.
Match halves
Belasitsa: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.21. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Belasitsa: 16-30 (4 goals). Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: in the last 5 matches they scored 8 goals and recorded 3 wins and 2 draws with 0 losses, averaging 2.2 points per match, while Belasitsa has only 4 goals, 0 wins and averages 0.2 points per match over the same period. Offensively Belasitsa scores at home on average 0.75 goals with an average xG of 1.55, indicating low finishing efficiency (shot conversion 7%) and as many as 50% of home matches without a goal; Chernomorets away averages 1.08 goals with xG 1.17 and a 12% conversion rate. Defensively the hosts concede 1.83 goals per home match and have a home goal difference of -13, while the visitors concede 1.25 away and have a season goal difference of +6 (29–23). The visitors have 33% clean sheets on the road and failed to score in 33% of away matches, whereas Belasitsa has only 17% clean sheets and failed to score in 50% of home matches, which argues for the greater defensive reliability of Chernomorets. Considering the superiority in form (2.2 pts vs 0.2 pts), higher finishing efficiency (12% vs 7%) and better away organization (1.25 conceded vs 1.83), I estimate a 65% chance of an away win, 20% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability versus 35% for No, because recent signals point to goals from both sides. Belasitsa registered BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and scored 4 while conceding 9 in that period (averages 0.8 and 1.8 per match), whereas Chernomorets in those 5 matches scored 8 and conceded 2 (1.6 and 0.4 per match). xG levels confirm goal potential: Belasitsa generates 1.48 xG per game versus the 1.54 xG that Chernomorets’ opponents typically produce, and Chernomorets has 1.17 xG versus 1.21 xG created against Belasitsa, indicating similar goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally Belasitsa averages 6.58 SOT with 15% conversion, and Chernomorets 5.0 SOT with 12%, while seasonal BTTS rates of 42% (Belasitsa) and 50% (Chernomorets) and the league level of 45% confirm a moderate tendency toward Goal/Goal. Considering the strong signal from Belasitsa’s form (high goals conceded in the last 5) and the comparable xG and SOT numbers, I pick Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model based on xG and seasonal percentages suggests 1.51 expected goals for Belasitsa (xG_for_home 1.48 and xG_against_away 1.54 → 1.51) and 1.19 for Chernomorets (xG_for_away 1.17 and xG_against_home 1.21 → 1.19), totaling 2.70. Seasonal percentages of matches over 1.5 stand at 75% for the home side and 67% for the away side (average 71%), and both teams have 83% of matches with at least one goal, which provides a strong signal for Over 1.5. Over 2.5 stats are markedly lower: 25% for Belasitsa and 33% for Chernomorets (average ~29%), but the combined xG of 2.70 and the fact that the visitors scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 per game) raise the probability of Over 2.5 to a moderate level. Over 3.5 is unlikely (8% and 17%, average 12%), so the most justified and strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5. Based on this, I assign probabilities: Over 1.5 at 78% (Under 22%), Over 2.5 at 40% (Under 60%), and Over 3.5 at 12% (Under 88%), recommending a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Belasitsa led at the break in 7 home matches (58%) and averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded in the first half, giving them a clear HT advantage. The home side’s season xG is 1.48 versus the visitors’ 1.17, and average shots on target are 6.58 vs 5.0, so hosts have the edge in chance creation and finishing quality. At the same time Chernomorets is in better recent form over the last 5 matches (60% wins, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded), which increases the risk of a turnaround by the visitors after the break. Considering the hosts win 42% of home games this season with 50% draws, the most consistent signal from the data is Belasitsa leading at the break and holding on to win to full-time (1/1). Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (41%), with 12% for 1/X as a realistic option for a guest comeback, and the remaining scenarios distributed in line with historical figures of 25% HT draws and 17% of cases where Belasitsa were losing at HT.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Belasitsa | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 64% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Belasitsa · 2.2 pts / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - Belasitsa · 1.21 goals / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Belasitsa · 0.96 goals / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Belasitsa scores in 46% of matches (11 of 24 matches), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Belasitsa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Belasitsa
Over / Under - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Belasitsa · 1.58 pts / match - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Belasitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 8%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Belasitsa
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Belasitsa | Liga | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.42 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 32% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BelasitsaGoalAnton Karachanakov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Belasitsa 0 - 1 - 0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The Second League match finished Belasitsa 1:0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Belasitsa score 0.58 goals per game on average and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.21. The Second League average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Belasitsa's matches and 46% of Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's.
What form are Belasitsa and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in?
Over the last 5 games Belasitsa have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The statistical background for Belasitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.