Belasitsa vs Etar: match statistics
Belasitsa vs Etar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Belasitsa played Etar in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Belasitsa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Etar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Belasitsa scores 0.69 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Etar scores 1.15 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Belasitsa 38%, Etar 38%. Over 2.5: Belasitsa 38%, Etar 46%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Etar has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.12. Belasitsa: 8.7 shots per match, Etar: 11.3.
Match halves
Belasitsa: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.27. Etar: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Belasitsa: 16-30 (5 goals). Etar: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Etar holds the advantage in the table and in form: they are 8th vs Belasitsa’s 17th and collected 8 points in the last 5 matches (avg. 1.6 per game: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Belasitsa has only 4 points in the last 5 (avg. 0.8: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). The difference in seasonal scoring stats is clear — Belasitsa scored 18 goals vs Etar’s 30, and goals conceded are 48 vs 36 in Etar’s favor. In home stats Belasitsa creates more chances: on average 9.92 shots and 5.62 shots on target with xG 1.48, while Etar away registers 8.77 shots, 4.54 on target and xG 1.23, but the hosts convert poorly (avg. 0.77 goals and a conversion rate of 8%). Both teams concede on average 1.69 goals per match and share the same percentage of matches without scoring (46%), which suggests a possible low-scoring game and a chance of a draw, but Etar has a better win ratio (23% away wins vs 15% home wins) and more clean sheets (31% vs 23%). Considering league position, Etar’s 12-goal advantage on the season and twice as many points in the last 5 matches, I give Etar the higher probability of victory, while a draw remains realistic due to both sides’ low finishing efficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the 'both teams to score' scenario — I assign it a 62% probability. Over the season Belasitsa scores 1.69 goals at home with an xG of 1.79, while Etar scores 0.62 away and concedes xG 1.52, which weakens the visitors’ offense on a seasonal basis. However, the last 5 matches strongly support BTTS: both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5, Etar generates more xG in the last 5 (1.35 vs 0.77) and Belasitsa recently concedes more chances (xG against 1.56 vs 1.05 for Etar), increasing the likelihood of an away goal. Additionally, the hosts average 9.08 shots on target versus Etar’s 4.54 and have a conversion rate of 12% vs 7%, which favors a home goal. Considering seasonal indicators (home BTTS 46% vs away BTTS 31% and league BTTS 44%) and a strong current form signal, I recommend 'BTTS - Yes' 62% vs 'No Goal' 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals estimate is 1.66 for Belasitsa and 1.19 for Etar (total 2.85), calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.79 and away defense xG 1.52, and away attack xG 1.23 and home defense xG 1.15; additionally Belasitsa averages 9.08 shots on target versus Etar’s 4.54, which favors more goal-scoring opportunities for the home side. Both teams have 69% of their season matches with over 1.5 goals (Belasitsa 69%, Etar 69%), and the league average is 2.43 goals per match, which strongly supports the Over 1.5 line (I estimate 82%/18%). The 2.5 line is more balanced: Belasitsa has 62% of matches over 2.5 goals, Etar 31% (average ~46%), but Etar’s last 5 matches show 80% of games over 2.5 goals, so I give a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals in this match. The 3.5 line is least likely — the season percentage of matches over 3.5 goals is 31% for both teams, and the projected total of 2.85 is below 3.5, therefore I rate Under 3.5 at 75%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Belasitsa is clearly stronger on the numbers: they average 1.69 goals per game and concede 1.08, while Etar scores only 0.62 and concedes 1.69. At half-time the home side lead more often — Belasitsa led at the break in 31% of matches, Etar only in 8%, with half-time goal averages of 0.62 versus 0.15. In the second half Belasitsa averages 1.08 goals, Etar 0.46, and the advantage in xG and attacking quality is evident: xG 1.79 versus 1.23, shots on target 9.08 versus 4.54 and conversion 12% to 7%. These figures suggest a lead at the break for the hosts is likely to be maintained and turned into a win, hence the highest probability is for HT/FT 1/1 (26%), while the alternative scenario X/1 receives 25% due to frequent draws at half-time (46%). Turnaround scenarios (2/1 or 2/2) are less likely because Etar have low offensive efficiency (0.62 goals per match and 7% conversion).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Belasitsa | Etar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 56% | 60% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Etar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Belasitsa · 1.6 pts / match - Etar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etar is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Belasitsa · 1.15 goals / match - Etar
Etar is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Belasitsa · 1.38 goals / match - Etar
Belasitsa scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while Etar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Etar scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Belasitsa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Belasitsa
Over / Under - Etar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etar is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Belasitsa · 1.04 pts / match - Etar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Belasitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Etar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Belasitsa
Etar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Belasitsa | Liga | Etar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.54 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- EtarGoalKristiyan Velichkov
- EtarGoalToma Ivov Ushagelov
- BelasitsaGoalGeorgi Ivanov Karakashev
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Belasitsa 0 - 0 - 1 Etar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Belasitsa vs Etar?
The Second League match finished Belasitsa 2:4 Etar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Belasitsa vs Etar?
Belasitsa score 0.69 goals per game on average and Etar 1.15. The Second League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Belasitsa's matches and 38% of Etar's.
What form are Belasitsa and Etar in?
Over the last 5 games Belasitsa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Etar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belasitsa vs Etar?
The statistical background for Belasitsa vs Etar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.