Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge: match statistics
Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Belasitsa played Sportist Svoge in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Belasitsa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sportist Svoge: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Belasitsa scores 0.75 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Sportist Svoge scores 0.89 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Belasitsa 43%, Sportist Svoge 39%. Over 2.5: Belasitsa 43%, Sportist Svoge 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Sportist Svoge has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.15. Belasitsa: 8.9 shots per match, Sportist Svoge: 8.1.
Match halves
Belasitsa: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.32. Sportist Svoge: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Belasitsa: 16-30 (5 goals). Sportist Svoge: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sportist Svoge holds a slight advantage in core seasonal metrics: 7 wins versus Belasitsa’s 3 and a higher league position (15th vs 17th), with 25 goals scored to 21. Defensively the visitors also look stronger — Belasitsa conceded 54 goals this season and allow 1.86 goals per home match, while Sportist have conceded 44 and concede 1.71 on the road, with 43% of away matches kept clean versus 21% for the hosts. The hosts create more chances at home (10.36 shots and 5.86 on target per match) and have a higher xG (1.53 vs 1.16), but lower finishing efficiency (8% shot conversion versus 10% for the visitors) results in both teams averaging only 0.86 goals per match. In the last 5 fixtures Belasitsa scored 7 and conceded 11 (1 win, 4 losses, 0.6 points per match), while Sportist scored 4 and conceded 8 (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, 0.8 points), giving the visitors a slight advantage in points and defensively. Considering the greater number of wins this season, better defensive record and higher clean-sheet percentage for the visitors, I predict a Sportist Svoge victory; proposed probability split: home 25%, draw 30%, away 45%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'YES' scenario appears more likely because Belasitsa has not kept a single clean sheet at home (0% clean sheets) and concedes on average 1.43 goals this season, rising to 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches. Sportist Svoge, while having 43% clean sheets and finishing BTTS only in 29% of matches this season, still concedes 1.71 goals on average this season and 1.6 in the last 5, which increases the chance of a home side goal. Offensively, Belasitsa averages 0.93 goals this season and 1.4 in the last 5 (xG 1.25), whereas Sportist averages 0.86 seasonally and 0.8 in the last 5 (xG 1.16), so the hosts show greater short-term efficiency. Belasitsa also has 50% BTTS this season and 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches versus Sportist's 29%/40%, which together gives a strong signal for Both Teams To Score. Considering average concessions above 1.4 for both teams, the hosts' lack of clean sheets and recent BTTS indicators, I assess the probability of BTTS at 65% (YES) versus 35% (NO).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model indicates approximately 1.50 expected goals for Belasitsa (attacking xG 1.25 vs. Sportist conceded xG 1.74) and about 1.20 for Sportist Svoge (attacking xG 1.16 vs. Belasitsa conceded xG 1.23), totaling ≈2.70 goals. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.70 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈75%, Over 2.5 ≈51% and Over 3.5 ≈29%. In their last 5 matches Belasitsa scored 7 and conceded 11 (avg. 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded), while Sportist scored 4 and conceded 8 (0.8 and 1.6), confirming both teams’ vulnerability to conceding. Seasonal metrics support this projection: Belasitsa has 100% of home games with ≥0.5 goals, both teams have 64% of matches with >1.5 goals, and Over 2.5 occurs in 43% and 57% of matches respectively, therefore the strongest pick is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: both teams were level at the break in 57% of their matches, and the average goals by half is only around 1.21–1.29 (1.21 for the home side, 1.29 for the away), which favors an 'X' on HT. After the break the home side Belasitsa holds a slight advantage — their xG is 1.25 versus 1.16 for Sportist Svoge, they concede on average 1.43 goals per match compared to 1.71 for the visitors, and they have collected more points in second halves (15 vs 11), with a higher average of goals in the second half over the last five matches (1.8 vs 1.2). The hosts attempt more shots (9.38 vs 8.23) and have slightly better shot conversion (11% vs 10%), increasing the chance of a turnaround after the interval. On this basis I prefer the scenario of a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1), with a significant alternative being a final draw (X/X) given the low offensive efficiency of 0.93 vs 0.86 and the league average of 2.51 goals per game.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Belasitsa | Sportist Svoge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sportist Svoge is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Belasitsa · 0.8 pts / match - Sportist Svoge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportist Svoge is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Belasitsa · 0.89 goals / match - Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - Belasitsa · 1.57 goals / match - Sportist Svoge
Belasitsa scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Sportist Svoge keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Sportist Svoge scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Belasitsa keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Belasitsa
Over / Under - Sportist Svoge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportist Svoge is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Belasitsa · 1 pts / match - Sportist Svoge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Belasitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportist Svoge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Belasitsa
Sportist Svoge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Belasitsa | Liga | Sportist Svoge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.51 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Belasitsa 1 - 0 - 0 Sportist Svoge. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge?
The Second League match finished Belasitsa 3:0 Sportist Svoge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge?
Belasitsa score 0.75 goals per game on average and Sportist Svoge 0.89. The Second League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Belasitsa's matches and 39% of Sportist Svoge's.
What form are Belasitsa and Sportist Svoge in?
Over the last 5 games Belasitsa have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sportist Svoge 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.