Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz: match statistics
Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bełchatów play Warta Sieradz in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Bełchatów: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Warta Sieradz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bełchatów scores 1.56 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Warta Sieradz scores 1.88 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bełchatów 68%, Warta Sieradz 68%. Over 2.5: Bełchatów 74%, Warta Sieradz 62%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Warta Sieradz has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.16. Bełchatów: 7.2 shots per match, Warta Sieradz: 10.1.
Match halves
Bełchatów: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.85. Warta Sieradz: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Bełchatów: 76-90+ (14 goals). Warta Sieradz: 61-75 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a Warta Sieradz win (2). The visitors sit 2nd and have a 50% away win rate with only 17% defeats, while Bełchatów win 31% and lose 46% of home matches. Warta’s key advantage is defense: 0.92 goals conceded on the road vs Bełchatów’s 2.15 conceded at home, and a positive away goal differential (+7) versus the hosts’ -5 at their own ground. Warta also creates more chances — on average 11.64 shots, 4.64 on target and xG 1.51 away, versus 8.5 shots, 4.25 on target and xG 1.12 for the hosts. Bełchatów has higher home conversion (23% vs Warta’s 14%) and has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches (Warta 10), but the high frequency of goalless home games (31% without a goal) and weak defense lead me to assign Warta 60% probability, a draw 20% and a Bełchatów win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bełchatów | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warta Sieradz is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bełchatów · 2.2 pts / match - Warta Sieradz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Sieradz is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Bełchatów · 1.88 goals / match - Warta Sieradz
Warta Sieradz is 118% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.18 goals / match - Bełchatów · 1 goals / match - Warta Sieradz
Bełchatów scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Warta Sieradz keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Warta Sieradz scores in 97% of matches (33 of 34 matches), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bełchatów
Over / Under — Warta Sieradz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Sieradz is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Bełchatów · 1.47 pts / match - Warta Sieradz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Warta Sieradz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bełchatów
Warta Sieradz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Bełchatów | Liga | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.74 | 3.33 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 20% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bełchatów 0 - 0 - 1 Warta Sieradz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Bełchatów 3:3 Warta Sieradz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz?
Bełchatów score 1.56 goals per game on average and Warta Sieradz 1.88. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bełchatów's matches and 68% of Warta Sieradz's.
What form are Bełchatów and Warta Sieradz in?
Over the last 5 games Bełchatów have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Warta Sieradz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bełchatów vs Warta Sieradz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.