Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams, which points towards a draw. Bellinzona sit in 10th place with a 25% home win rate, while 9th-placed Étoile Carouge win only 17% of their away matches. Both teams are in poor form – the hosts with just 0.4 PPG in their last five matches, and the visitors slightly better at 1.0 PPG. The xG statistics are nearly identical (Bellinzona 1.28 vs Étoile 1.21), confirming an equal offensive potential. The visitors' high draw rate (25% away) and the poor goalscoring form of both sides (Bellinzona are winless in 5 matches, Étoile score an average of 1 goal away) suggest a sharing of the points. A slight advantage for the hosts comes from their home ground, although their home form leaves much to be desired with a 58% loss rate.
Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bellinzona played Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Bellinzona: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bellinzona scores 0.92 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bellinzona 36%, Étoile Carouge 52%. Over 2.5: Bellinzona 48%, Étoile Carouge 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Étoile Carouge has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.27. Bellinzona: 11.2 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 12.7.
Match halves
Bellinzona: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.36. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Bellinzona: 31-45+ (8 goals). Étoile Carouge: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams, which points towards a draw. Bellinzona sit in 10th place with a 25% home win rate, while 9th-placed Étoile Carouge win only 17% of their away matches. Both teams are in poor form – the hosts with just 0.4 PPG in their last five matches, and the visitors slightly better at 1.0 PPG. The xG statistics are nearly identical (Bellinzona 1.28 vs Étoile 1.21), confirming an equal offensive potential. The visitors' high draw rate (25% away) and the poor goalscoring form of both sides (Bellinzona are winless in 5 matches, Étoile score an average of 1 goal away) suggest a sharing of the points. A slight advantage for the hosts comes from their home ground, although their home form leaves much to be desired with a 58% loss rate.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bellinzona | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Étoile Carouge is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Bellinzona · 1 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Étoile Carouge is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Bellinzona · 1 goals / match - Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - Bellinzona · 1.56 goals / match - Étoile Carouge
Bellinzona scores in 44% of matches (11 of 25 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Étoile Carouge scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Bellinzona keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bellinzona
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Étoile Carouge is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Bellinzona · 1.04 pts / match - Étoile Carouge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bellinzona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bellinzona
Étoile Carouge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Bellinzona | Liga | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.84 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 51% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bellinzona 0 - 0 - 2 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge?
The Challenge League match finished Bellinzona 0:3 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bellinzona and Étoile Carouge?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 0, Étoile Carouge won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge?
Bellinzona score 0.92 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.00. The Challenge League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Bellinzona's matches and 52% of Étoile Carouge's.
What form are Bellinzona and Étoile Carouge in?
Over the last 5 games Bellinzona have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge?
The statistical background for Bellinzona vs Étoile Carouge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.