Beltinci vs Bistrica: match statistics
Beltinci vs Bistrica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beltinci played Bistrica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 6 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Beltinci: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bistrica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beltinci scores 1.81 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Bistrica scores 1.73 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beltinci 42%, Bistrica 46%. Over 2.5: Beltinci 46%, Bistrica 62%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Beltinci has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.44. Beltinci: 13.7 shots per match, Bistrica: 10.2.
Match halves
Beltinci: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.96. Bistrica: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Beltinci: 76-90+ (11 goals). Bistrica: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beltinci average 2.0 goals per home game with an average xG of 1.93, while Bistrica score 1.23 goals away with xG 1.36, giving the hosts an offensive edge. In the last 5 matches Beltinci have scored 10 goals and recorded a 4-1-0 run (4 wins, 1 draw) — 2.6 points per game — whereas Bistrica scored 7 goals with a 2-0-3 record (2 wins, 3 losses) — 1.2 points per game. The hosts create significantly more chances: 15.15 average shots and 5.77 on target per home game versus the visitors’ 9.08 shots and 3.85 on target; although Bistrica’s conversion is 14% versus Beltinci’s 13%, the volume of attempts favors the home side. Defensively Beltinci concede 1.0 goal on average at home (3 conceded in the last 5) with xG against 1.11, while Bistrica concede 1.23 goals away (6 conceded in the last 5) with xG against 1.36, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. With a home goal difference of +13 and a much lower share of matches without scoring (15% vs 38%), I tip a home win; estimated probabilities: Beltinci ~68%, draw 17%, Bistrica 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict Both Teams To Score = No. Beltinci at home average 2.23 goals scored and concede only 1.00 per match, while Bistrica away average 1.23 goals scored and have 31% clean sheets this season. In the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 0.6 goals on average with xG against 0.93, and the visitors conceded 1.2 goals on average with xG against 1.35, indicating a defensive edge for Beltinci. Season BTTS rates for both teams are 46% each and the league BTTS is 50%, however the league’s high clean sheet rate of 57% and the difference in seasonal goals conceded (19 vs 29) favor No Goal. Therefore the safest pick is 'No' with an estimated probability of 62% for 'No' and 38% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of at least 2 goals: Beltinci have over 1.5 in 92% of matches this season, Bistrica in 77%, giving a simple average of 84.5% and, after accounting for the home side's form, I boost this to 88%. I estimate expected xG at about 1.62 for Beltinci (seasonal xG 1.52, last 5 matches xG 1.74) and 1.23 for Bistrica (seasonal xG 1.36, last 5 xG 1.33, Beltinci conceded xG 1.46), yielding a total of 2.85. The 2.5 line also looks attractive — both teams have season-long rates of 62% over 2.5, and given Beltinci scored 10 goals in the last 5 and Bistrica 7, I raise the probability of Over 2.5 goals to 64%. The chance of Over 3.5 goals is materially lower: seasonal rates are 31% for the home team and 23% for the away team, and the expected total of 2.85 suggests roughly a 29% probability of 4+ goals, so Under 3.5 has the edge (71%). Consequently the strongest signal from the data is the Over on the 1.5 line (88%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Beltinci led at the break in 6 of 13 matches (46%), while Bistrica led in 4 of 13 (31%), indicating a home advantage after 45 minutes. In full time Beltinci won 8 of 13 matches (62%), drew 2 (15%) and lost 3 (23%), whereas Bistrica wins only 23% and loses 46% of the time. After the interval the home side scores on average 1.31 goals versus 0.38 for the visitors, records 4.85 shots on target vs 3.85 and has a conversion rate of 20% vs 14%, so a lead at the break for the home team has a high chance of being held or extended. With a realistic distribution of outcomes (of the 6 halftime leads about 5 end in home wins, of 3 halftime draws about 2 turn into home wins, and of the 4 times the away team is leading only 1 manages a turnaround) I consider the 1/1 (Half-Time/Full-Time) scenario to be the strongest and assign it the highest probability (~38%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beltinci | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beltinci is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Beltinci · 1.2 pts / match - Bistrica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beltinci is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Beltinci · 1.73 goals / match - Bistrica
Beltinci is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Beltinci · 1.12 goals / match - Bistrica
Beltinci scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Bistrica keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Bistrica scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Beltinci keeps a clean sheet in 54% (14 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beltinci
Over / Under - Bistrica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beltinci is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Beltinci · 1.5 pts / match - Bistrica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beltinci - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bistrica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beltinci
Bistrica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Beltinci | Liga | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.80 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Beltinci 1 - 0 - 0 Bistrica. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Beltinci vs Bistrica?
The 2. SNL match finished Beltinci 3:0 Bistrica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Beltinci vs Bistrica?
Beltinci score 1.81 goals per game on average and Bistrica 1.73. The 2. SNL average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Beltinci's matches and 46% of Bistrica's.
What form are Beltinci and Bistrica in?
Over the last 5 games Beltinci have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bistrica 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beltinci vs Bistrica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Beltinci vs Bistrica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.