Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: match statistics
Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ben Guerdane played ES Tunis in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ben Guerdane: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. ES Tunis: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ben Guerdane scores 0.62 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. ES Tunis scores 1.52 and concedes 0.38. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ben Guerdane 21%, ES Tunis 24%. Over 2.5: Ben Guerdane 14%, ES Tunis 34%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
ES Tunis has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.05. Ben Guerdane: 5.7 shots per match, ES Tunis: 14.1.
Match halves
Ben Guerdane: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.34. ES Tunis: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Ben Guerdane: 61-75 (6 goals). ES Tunis: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — ES Tunis — who have 17 wins and 44 goals this season, while Ben Guerdane have 8 wins and 18 goals. The efficiency gap is clear: ES Tunis has a conversion rate of about 15% and averages 1.36 goals away, whereas the hosts convert only ~7% at home and score 0.64 goals per match. Defensively Ben Guerdane are strong at home — just 0.36 goals conceded per game and 64% clean sheets; in their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 4 and conceded only 1, while ES Tunis in the same period scored 4 and conceded 4. xG shows similar chance creation (Ben Guerdane home xG 1.31 vs ES Tunis away xG 1.26), however the hosts significantly underperform their xG (0.64 actual goals vs xG 1.31). Considering the markedly better season record (17 wins and 44 goals vs 8 wins and 18 goals) and the superiority in finishing, balanced by the hosts’ solid defense, I tip a win for the visitors; I estimate probabilities at roughly 55% for ES Tunis, 25% for a draw and 20% for Ben Guerdane.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ben Guerdane has a very strong defense — conceding only 0.33 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of matches; in the last 5 games they have recorded no BTTS (0%), which significantly reduces the likelihood of Goal/Goal. ES Tunis has a seasonal BTTS rate of 29% and concedes 0.43 goals per game on average, with BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, but this does not offset the home side’s statistics. In the league BTTS rate is 26%, alongside a very high clean sheet expected rate of 90%, which further favors a No Goal/clean sheet scenario. Offensively Ben Guerdane generates xG 2.36 at home and averages 1.67 goals with 8.13 shots on target versus 3.77 for ES Tunis, yet the home side’s seasonal BTTS is only 20%, so the match profile is dominated by a home clean sheet. On this basis the much stronger signal is No Goal: 75% vs 25% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ben Guerdane generates xG 2.36 per match, while the average xG against ES Tunis is 0.80, yielding a simple home-goal estimate ≈(2.36+0.80)/2 = 1.58. ES Tunis has xG_for 1.26 and the home xG_against 0.82 → ≈1.04, totaling ≈2.62 xG per match. However, the league is very low-scoring (average 1.73 goals per match) and both teams have high clean sheet rates: Ben Guerdane 73% and ES Tunis 64%, with both teams recording only 20% and 29% of matches where both score, which reduces the realistic probability of many goals. Considering seasonal Over 2.5 rates = 27% (Ben Guerdane) and 43% (ES Tunis) and the home side’s last 5 matches (4 scored, 1 conceded), I adjusted expected goals to 1.35 for the home team and 0.95 for the away = 2.30 total goals. On this basis the strongest signal is Under 2.5 (recommendation), while Over 1.5 remains relatively likely given seasonal 60%/57% Over 1.5, and Over 3.5 is unlikely (20%/7%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ben Guerdane have a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 11 matches (73%) and on average score 0.93 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.20. The hosts create significantly more chances — xG 2.36 versus 1.26 for ES Tunis and 8.13 shots on target versus 3.77 — which increases the likelihood of a quick lead. After the break Ben Guerdane concede on average just 0.13 goals and record 87% clean second halves, while the visitors have 79%, so the hosts often maintain the result. Season-long goal averages of 1.67 (Ben Guerdane) versus 1.36 (ES Tunis) and a low rate of both teams scoring (BTTS 20% vs 29%) suggest the most probable scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and winning the match; therefore HT/FT 1/1 receives the strongest signal (~58%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ben Guerdane | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ben Guerdane is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ben Guerdane · 1.2 pts / match - ES Tunis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ES Tunis is 145% better for: goals scored per match.
0.62 goals / match - Ben Guerdane · 1.52 goals / match - ES Tunis
ES Tunis is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Ben Guerdane · 0.38 goals / match - ES Tunis
Ben Guerdane scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while ES Tunis keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 matches).
ES Tunis scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Ben Guerdane keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ben Guerdane
Over / Under - ES Tunis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ES Tunis is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Ben Guerdane · 2.07 pts / match - ES Tunis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ben Guerdane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ES Tunis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ben Guerdane
ES Tunis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Ben Guerdane | Liga | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.34 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ben Guerdane 0 - 0 - 1 ES Tunis. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
The Ligue 1 match finished Ben Guerdane 0:1 ES Tunis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
Ben Guerdane score 0.62 goals per game on average and ES Tunis 1.52. The Ligue 1 average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Ben Guerdane's matches and 24% of ES Tunis's.
What form are Ben Guerdane and ES Tunis in?
Over the last 5 games Ben Guerdane have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ES Tunis 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.