Bendel Insurance vs Barau: match statistics
Bendel Insurance vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bendel Insurance played Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Uniben Sport Complex. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Bendel Insurance: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Barau: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bendel Insurance scores 1.50 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Barau scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bendel Insurance 67%, Barau 50%. Over 2.5: Bendel Insurance 83%, Barau 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.19. Bendel Insurance: 3.8 shots per match, Barau: 10.2.
Match halves
Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. Barau: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Bendel Insurance: 46-60 (3 goals). Barau: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bendel Insurance have won all 3 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals, which points to the hosts. Barau may sit in 1st place and remain unbeaten in all 6 league matches this season, but all 3 of their away games have ended in draws, with the visitors scoring an average of just 0.33 goals on the road. Barau have defended effectively away from home, conceding an average of 0.33 goals per match, while Bendel have allowed 1.33 goals per game at home. The last 5 matches also highlight a difference in consistency: Barau have conceded 2 goals and remain unbeaten, whereas Bendel have conceded 9 and lost 3 times. Therefore, a home win looks the most likely outcome, although Barau’s run of away draws means a share of the points remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for at least one team failing to score is Barau’s away scoring record: an average of 0.33 goals per match and no goal in 67% of games. Bendel Insurance concede an average of 0.67 goals at home and allow opponents chances worth 0.81 xG, further limiting the visitors’ prospects. The hosts are considerably more dangerous in attack, scoring an average of 2.67 goals at home compared with Barau’s 0.33 away, so a match with goals for only one side is more likely than a goalless draw. The last 5 matches offer some counterbalance: Barau averaged 1.2 goals and recorded 1.66 xG, while Bendel conceded 1.8 goals. Even so, BTTS - Yes landed in 33% of Barau’s away matches, compared with 67% of Bendel’s home games, so the pick remains BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Bendel Insurance score an average of 2.67 goals at home and generate an xG of 2.14, but Barau concede only 0.33 goals per away match. The visitors score just 0.33 goals per game on the road and failed to find the net in 67% of those matches, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Barau have conceded just 2 goals across their last 5 matches, while Bendel’s games over the same period have averaged 3.2 goals. This contrast calls for caution on lower goal lines, while all of Barau’s away matches to date have finished Under 3.5 goals. With a projected total of 2.30 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is a realistic possibility: Barau were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches and conceded no first-half goals in any of them. Caution about Bendel taking an early lead is also warranted, as the hosts failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 matches overall. The hosts should have a clearer edge after the break, having averaged 1.67 goals in second halves at home and won the second half in all 3 matches, while Barau have yet to score after half-time away from home. Bendel have won all 3 home matches, and their average xG of 2.14 compared with Barau’s 1.18 points to a home win at full-time despite a possible draw at half-time. The risk to this scenario is that Barau have drawn all 3 away matches, so a draw at both half-time and full-time remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bendel Insurance | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barau is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Bendel Insurance · 1.8 pts / match - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barau is 234% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.5 goals / match - Barau
Bendel Insurance scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Barau scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bendel Insurance
Over / Under - Barau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barau is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Bendel Insurance · 2 pts / match - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bendel Insurance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bendel Insurance
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bendel Insurance | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bendel Insurance 0 - 2 - 0 Barau. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bendel Insurance vs Barau?
The NPFL match finished Bendel Insurance 4:1 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bendel Insurance and Barau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bendel Insurance won 0, Barau won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bendel Insurance vs Barau?
Bendel Insurance score 1.50 goals per game on average and Barau 1.50. The NPFL average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bendel Insurance's matches and 50% of Barau's.
What form are Bendel Insurance and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Bendel Insurance have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Barau 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bendel Insurance vs Barau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bendel Insurance vs Barau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.