Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Bendel Insurance displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts average 1.38 goals per home match with an xG of 1.74, pointing to offensive efficiency. Ikorodu City has very poor away results—merely 15% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, averaging just 0.69 goals scored away. The visitors' high Failed To Score rate (46%) in away matches and low efficiency (2 shots on target per match) further diminish their chances. Although Ikorodu City sits higher in the table, their away form is considerably inferior to Bendel Insurance's home form, making the hosts the favorites for this fixture.
Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bendel Insurance played Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Bendel Insurance: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ikorodu City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bendel Insurance scores 1.07 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 0.96 and concedes 0.59. League average: 1.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bendel Insurance 41%, Ikorodu City 30%. Over 2.5: Bendel Insurance 22%, Ikorodu City 15%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 25%.
xG, shots and style
Bendel Insurance has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.39. Bendel Insurance: 9.0 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 7.6.
Match halves
Bendel Insurance: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Bendel Insurance: 0-15 (6 goals). Ikorodu City: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 25%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bendel Insurance displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts average 1.38 goals per home match with an xG of 1.74, pointing to offensive efficiency. Ikorodu City has very poor away results—merely 15% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, averaging just 0.69 goals scored away. The visitors' high Failed To Score rate (46%) in away matches and low efficiency (2 shots on target per match) further diminish their chances. Although Ikorodu City sits higher in the table, their away form is considerably inferior to Bendel Insurance's home form, making the hosts the favorites for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bendel Insurance | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ikorodu City is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Bendel Insurance · 2 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bendel Insurance is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.96 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Ikorodu City is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Bendel Insurance · 0.59 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 59% (16 of 27 matches).
Ikorodu City scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Bendel Insurance keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bendel Insurance
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bendel Insurance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bendel Insurance
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bendel Insurance | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.96 | 1.82 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 41% | 35% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 39% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bendel Insurance 0 - 0 - 1 Ikorodu City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Bendel Insurance 4:0 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
Bendel Insurance score 1.07 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bendel Insurance's matches and 30% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Bendel Insurance and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Bendel Insurance have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ikorodu City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.