Benfica vs Academico Viseu: match statistics

Benfica have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Academico Viseu have netted just 5 goals over the same period. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected an average of 2 points per game, whereas the visitors remain unbeaten but have drawn 3 times, averaging 1.8 points per match. Academico Viseu stand out defensively, having kept a clean sheet in each of their last five appearances, which significantly increases the likelihood of a closely contested match. Benfica have conceded 5 goals during the same period, but their superior attacking output, reflected in the 13:5 goal tally, combined with home advantage, points to a home win. The visitors’ position at the top of the table calls for caution; however, Benfica’s more effective recent form gives them a slight edge.

The strongest signal comes from Academico Viseu’s latest run: the team has conceded no goals in 5 matches, with BTTS occurring in 0% of those games. Benfica averaged 2.6 goals and generated an xG of 2.08 during this period, making their goal highly likely. The visitors scored only 1.0 goal per match on average, while Benfica conceded an average of 1.0 goal and allowed opponents an xG of 1.14. Although Benfica had BTTS in 60% of their last 5 appearances, Viseu’s defensive stability and clean sheet record in this run provide stronger support for BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score. The most realistic match scenario is a Benfica win to nil or a game in which the visitors’ solid defence restricts the hosts.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Benfica have averaged 2.6 goals scored and generated 2.08 xG per match across their last five games. Their recent matches have produced an average of 3.6 total goals, while the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of those fixtures. Academico Viseu have scored only 1.0 goal per match, but they have created 1.59 xG, indicating the potential to contribute a goal or at least support an open game. The visitors’ defense have kept clean sheets in their last five matches, so Over 2.5 is not equally reliable; however, Benfica’s attacking profile clearly reduces the risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result. Complete season data is unavailable, so the forecast is based primarily on the current five-match run and the hosts’ attacking advantage.

The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, representing 60% of cases. Benfica, however, have significantly greater attacking potential over the course of the match: they have recently averaged 2.6 goals, compared with just 1.0 for Académico Viseu. After the break, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals, and at least one goal was scored in the second half of each of their last 5 matches, while the visitors managed only 0.4 goals in this period. Viseu remain unbeaten in five appearances, but as many as 60% of those matches ended in a draw, suggesting a cautious start rather than an advantage over Benfica. The X/1 scenario best combines the high probability of an even first half with Benfica’s greater strength after the interval.