Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación: match statistics
Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Benjamin Aceval played Encarnación in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Benjamin Aceval: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Encarnación: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Benjamin Aceval scores 1.40 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Encarnación scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Benjamin Aceval 20%, Encarnación 40%. Over 2.5: Benjamin Aceval 20%, Encarnación 40%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Encarnación has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.52. Benjamin Aceval: 12.0 shots per match, Encarnación: 13.8.
Match halves
Benjamin Aceval: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Encarnación: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Benjamin Aceval: 31-45+ (2 goals). Encarnación: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Encarnación holds a clear away advantage: on the road they have won 67% of matches, kept 67% clean sheets, score an average of 1.00 goal per game and concede only 0.33 goals away. Benjamin Aceval have yet to score at home (home goals per game 0, percentage of home matches without a goal 100%) and have not recorded a home win (0% home wins), despite averaging 54% possession and 11 shots per match. In terms of quality of chances created the teams are comparable: Benjamin Aceval have home xG 1.58, Encarnación away xG 1.65, however the visitors convert better into goals (scoring 1.00 away versus 0 for the hosts). The visitors average 13.67 shots with 6 on target and a conversion rate around 7%, while the hosts have 4.5 shots on target and a 0% conversion at home, which further favors an Encarnación victory. For these reasons the most likely outcome is an away win, a draw remains possible (hosts have 50% home draws), and a home win appears least likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back "No" (no both teams to score) at approximately 70% probability because Encarnación have 67% clean sheets away and a seasonal away BTTS rate of 0%, which is the strongest signal. Additionally, the league has 62% clean sheets and an overall BTTS level of 45%, meaning clean sheets occur more often than Goal/Goal this season. The counterpoint is that Benjamin Aceval at home has a seasonal BTTS of 100% and averages 1.5 goals per match (xG 1.76), but in the last 5 home games the hosts scored 7 and conceded 2 (0.4 conceded per match) and had only 20% BTTS, which weakens that signal. Encarnación seasonally record 1.0 scored and 0.33 conceded with xG_for 1.65 versus xG_against 1.58, which together with 67% away clean sheets suggests they will come to defend and reduces the likelihood of BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and defensive metrics yields 1.67 expected goals for Benjamin Aceval (xG attack 1.76 vs xG allowed by Encarnación 1.58) and 1.51 for Encarnación (xG attack 1.65 vs xG allowed by Benjamin 1.37), totaling 3.18 goals. Seasonal numbers confirm the hosts' offensive profile: Benjamin Aceval scores 1.5 goals per match on average and has 100% of games over 2.5, while Encarnación averages 1.0 goal and keeps a clean sheet in 67% of matches. Both teams register a similar number of shots (14.0 vs 13.67) and 6.0 shots on target each, but the hosts have higher finishing efficiency (11% vs 7%), increasing the likelihood of goals from them. As a result I recommend the Over market as the strongest signal, with Over 1.5 as the best line (I rate Over 1.5 at 92%, Over 2.5 at 76% and Over 3.5 at 38%), mainly due to the combined xG of 3.18 and the home goal profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Encarnación are the favorites: they have won 67% of matches (winPercentage_away = 67.0) and average 1.0 goals per game while conceding only 0.33 (seasonScoredAVG_away = 1.0, seasonConcededAVG_away = 0.33), whereas Benjamin Aceval have a 0% win rate and concede 2.5 goals per game on average (winPercentage_home = 0.0, seasonConcededAVG_home = 2.5, seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.5). At Half-Time the stats also favor the visitors: the home side have led at the break in 0% of matches, the away side in 33%, and the visitors have kept 100% clean sheets at Half-Time (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 0.0, leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 33.0, seasonCSPercentageHT_away = 100.0), while the hosts concede an average of 1.0 before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 1.0). xG are similar (home xG 1.76 vs away xG 1.65) and shots on target are equal (6.0 vs 6.0), suggesting the difference stems from defense and efficiency (conversion rate 11% vs 7%). Based on this, the most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and an away win (X/2) — I assign it a 38% probability; next is the visitors leading at Half-Time and winning (2/2) at 27%, then draw/draw (X/X) at 15%, while scenarios with the home side leading at Half-Time are marginal (4% combined) due to their 0% wins and 0% leads at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Benjamin Aceval | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Benjamin Aceval is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Benjamin Aceval · 1.4 pts / match - Encarnación
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Benjamin Aceval is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Benjamin Aceval · 1.2 goals / match - Encarnación
Benjamin Aceval is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Benjamin Aceval · 1.2 goals / match - Encarnación
Benjamin Aceval scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Encarnación scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Benjamin Aceval keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Benjamin Aceval
Over / Under - Encarnación
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Benjamin Aceval is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Benjamin Aceval · 1.2 pts / match - Encarnación
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Benjamin Aceval - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Benjamin Aceval
Encarnación
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Benjamin Aceval | Liga | Encarnación | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.48 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 39% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación?
The Division Intermedia match finished Benjamin Aceval 1:0 Encarnación. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación?
Benjamin Aceval score 1.40 goals per game on average and Encarnación 1.20. The Division Intermedia average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Benjamin Aceval's matches and 40% of Encarnación's.
What form are Benjamin Aceval and Encarnación in?
Over the last 5 games Benjamin Aceval have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Encarnación 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Benjamin Aceval vs Encarnación: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.