Benjamin Aceval vs Paraguarí: match statistics

Benjamin Aceval sit 4th, while Paraguarí are eighth, and the hosts’ overall season record stands at 11 wins and just 5 defeats, compared with 8 wins and 10 losses for the visitors. At home, Benjamin Aceval average 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded, whereas Paraguarí score 1.09 goals away from home and concede as many as 1.73 per match. The hosts also exert clearer control in home fixtures, averaging 55% possession and an xG of 1.50, with only 18% of matches ending without scoring; for the visitors, that figure is 36%. Paraguarí do arrive in better form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals, while Benjamin Aceval have won just once and conceded 9 goals. Despite this recent improvement from the visitors, their away points efficiency—just 18% wins and 55% defeats—supports a slight preference for the hosts.

The BTTS signal is primarily supported by current form: in their last five matches, Benjamin Aceval saw both teams score in 80% of games, while Paraguarí recorded this outcome in 60%. During this period, the home side scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.8, whereas the visitors scored 1.8 and conceded 1.6, indicating open matches at both ends. Paraguarí has a particularly opponent-friendly away profile across the season, conceding an average of 1.73 goals, while Benjamin Aceval scores 1.33 goals per home match. The visitors also generate 1.44 xG and average 4.27 shots on target, so although Benjamin Aceval concedes only 0.92 goals per match over the season, its recent average of 1.8 goals conceded points to a clear chance of Paraguarí finding the net. Seasonal BTTS rates of 50% for the hosts and 55% for the visitors are moderate, but the more recent data increases the probability of a BTTS - Yes scenario.

Benjamin Aceval average 1.33 goals at home, while Paraguarí concede as many as 1.73 goals away, clearly increasing the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors create an average of 1.44 xG and register 4.27 shots on target per match, while Benjamin Aceval’s xG against stands at 1.36, meaning they should also have a realistic chance of scoring. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 3.2 and 3.4 total goals respectively, with the 2.5 line being exceeded in 60% of matches for each side. Across the season, at least 2 goals were scored in 58% of Benjamin Aceval’s matches and 73% of Paraguarí’s, making Over 1.5 the safest choice with a projected total of 2.67 goals. The higher 2.5 line remains close to a toss-up, as both teams recorded fewer than 50% of matches with at least 3 goals over the course of the season.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Paraguarí win, although this scenario does not have a significant edge. Benjamin Aceval drew at half-time in 58% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.25 goals before the break, which points to a balanced opening. Paraguarí are currently in clearly better form, however: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the hosts have lost 3, and the visitors held the lead at the break in 60% of those games. Over the course of the season, the hosts have the better points average, 1.67 compared with 0.82, but Paraguarí have scored an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, compared with Benjamin Aceval’s 1.4. The hosts concede an average of 0.67 goals after half-time, and the recent form of both defences points to more goals in the second half. Therefore, the visitors have a realistic chance of turning a level opening into a full-time victory.