Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town: match statistics
Basingstoke Town has shown significantly better form in the last five matches, averaging 2.6 points per game and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Hosts Berkhamsted are in weaker shape with 1.4 points per game and mixed home form (36% wins, 36% losses). Basingstoke demonstrates higher offensive efficiency in away matches (1.42 goals on average) and better xG stats (1.73 xG For vs 1.28 for Berkhamsted at home). Berkhamsted has a negative goal difference in home matches (-3), while the visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals away, indicating an evenly matched defense. Considering current form, offensive stats, and Basingstoke's psychological advantage, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced possession metrics and Basingstoke's struggles on the road (50% loss rate this season).
Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Berkhamsted played Basingstoke Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Berkhamsted: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Basingstoke Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Berkhamsted scores 1.30 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Basingstoke Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Berkhamsted 57%, Basingstoke Town 72%. Over 2.5: Berkhamsted 61%, Basingstoke Town 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Basingstoke Town has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.10. Berkhamsted: 2.3 shots per match, Basingstoke Town: 0.9.
Match halves
Berkhamsted: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.65. Basingstoke Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Berkhamsted: 76-90+ (10 goals). Basingstoke Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Basingstoke Town has shown significantly better form in the last five matches, averaging 2.6 points per game and recording a streak of four wins and one draw. Hosts Berkhamsted are in weaker shape with 1.4 points per game and mixed home form (36% wins, 36% losses). Basingstoke demonstrates higher offensive efficiency in away matches (1.42 goals on average) and better xG stats (1.73 xG For vs 1.28 for Berkhamsted at home). Berkhamsted has a negative goal difference in home matches (-3), while the visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals away, indicating an evenly matched defense. Considering current form, offensive stats, and Basingstoke's psychological advantage, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced possession metrics and Basingstoke's struggles on the road (50% loss rate this season).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Berkhamsted | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.49 | 2.02 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.50 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Basingstoke Town is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 2.6 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Basingstoke Town is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.48 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Berkhamsted is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.6 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Berkhamsted scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Basingstoke Town scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Berkhamsted is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 1.12 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Berkhamsted
Basingstoke Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Berkhamsted | Liga | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.17 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Berkhamsted 0 - 0 - 1 Basingstoke Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Berkhamsted 1:0 Basingstoke Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
Berkhamsted score 1.30 goals per game on average and Basingstoke Town 1.48. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Berkhamsted's matches and 72% of Basingstoke Town's.
What form are Berkhamsted and Basingstoke Town in?
Over the last 5 games Berkhamsted have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Basingstoke Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
The statistical background for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.