Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town: match statistics
Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Berkhamsted played Hungerford Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Berkhamsted: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Hungerford Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Berkhamsted scores 1.45 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Hungerford Town scores 1.18 and concedes 2.05. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Berkhamsted 55%, Hungerford Town 66%. Over 2.5: Berkhamsted 55%, Hungerford Town 63%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Hungerford Town has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.18. Berkhamsted: 2.1 shots per match, Hungerford Town: 2.7.
Match halves
Berkhamsted: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.76. Hungerford Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Berkhamsted: 31-45+ (14 goals). Hungerford Town: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Berkhamsted is the clear favorite: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and are averaging 2.4 points per game in that period, while Hungerford Town have not won any of their last 5 and average only 0.2 points per game. At home Berkhamsted scores 1.63 goals per game (55 goals this season), has an xG of 1.29 and averages 4.83 shots on target, whereas Hungerford on the road score 1.32 goals per game (45 goals this season), xG 1.12 and 3.83 shots on target. Defensively the difference is significant: the visitors concede 2.32 goals away and have 78 conceded goals this season, while the hosts concede 1.32 at home and 48 this season; the hosts have 32% clean sheets versus 5% for the visitors. Additionally the hosts have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 1 for Hungerford, and the percentage of matches without a goal is 11% for the hosts versus 21% for the visitors, which increases the hosts' chances of winning. Based on this I project a home win (1) with probability 75%, draw 13% and away win 12%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal analysis shows Berkhamsted have BTTS in 53% of their matches (60% in last 5), while Hungerford Town have BTTS in 79% of season matches but only 20% in last 5, yielding mixed signals. Hungerford concedes 2.32 goals per match on average this season and have just 5% clean sheets, whereas Berkhamsted score 1.05 and concede 1.79 per match, which overall favors Goal/Goal outcomes. In the last 5 matches Berkhamsted scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 6 (1.2 avg), while Hungerford scored 1 goal (0.2 avg) and shipped 13 (2.6 avg), weakening the away side’s scoring outlook. Despite Hungerford’s poor attacking form, the league BTTS level is 60% and the league goals average is 3.14, and xG shows 1.7 for Berkhamsted versus 1.12 for Hungerford, so I expect the match is most likely to finish with goals for both teams. On this basis I assign a 70% probability to BTTS - Yes and 30% to No, selecting Yes as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.70 goals for Berkhamsted and 1.35 for Hungerford (home offensive xG 1.70 vs away defensive xG 1.70; away offensive xG 1.12 vs home defensive xG 1.58), totaling 3.05 goals. Season percentages for matches over 1.5 goals are 74% for the home side and 89% for the away side (average 81.5%); with a league average of 3.14 goals I treat Over 1.5 as the strongest signal and rate its chance at 88%. For the 2.5 line, hosts have a 53% Over 2.5 rate and guests 74% (average 63.5%); with an xG forecast of 3.05 and a league over2.5 rate of 61% I raise the probability of Over 2.5 to 65%. The 3.5 line is less likely: season Over 3.5 rates are 26%/42% (average 34%), and given the expected total of 3.05 I assign roughly 31% to Over 3.5. Additionally, the share of matches in which both teams scored is 53% for hosts and 79% for guests, and average shots on target 5.29 vs 3.83 with conversion rates 17%/21% increase the chance of goals from both sides and support the Over 1.5 selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). Berkhamsted have an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches versus 0% for Hungerford and possess a quality advantage (xG 1.70 vs 1.12 and 5.29 shots on target vs 3.83), which supports a turnaround after the break. A draw at the break is supported by HT statistics: home sides were level at half in 53% of matches, visitors in 32%, and the average goals by half is only 0.37 for each team. After the interval Berkhamsted show stronger offensive metrics (in the last 5 they averaged 1.0 goal after half-time vs 0.2 for the visitors) and home matches have registered >0.5 goals in the second half in 100% of the last 5 and 79% on the season, while visitors concede 2.32 goals seasonally versus 1.79 for hosts, increasing the probability of a comeback for the home side. Therefore X/1 was assigned the highest probability (31%); alternatives are X/X (16%) and 1/1 (17%), while scenarios favoring the away side (e.g. X/2 5% or 2/2 14%) are less likely due to poor form and higher average concessions by the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Berkhamsted | Hungerford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.90 | 1.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Berkhamsted is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 0.2 pts / match - Hungerford Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Berkhamsted is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.18 goals / match - Hungerford Town
Berkhamsted is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 2.05 goals / match - Hungerford Town
Berkhamsted scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Hungerford Town keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Hungerford Town scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
Over / Under - Hungerford Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Berkhamsted is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 0.74 pts / match - Hungerford Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hungerford Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Berkhamsted
Hungerford Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Berkhamsted | Liga | Hungerford Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 22% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BerkhamstedGoalRyan Blake
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Berkhamsted 1 - 0 - 0 Hungerford Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Berkhamsted 4:1 Hungerford Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town?
Berkhamsted score 1.45 goals per game on average and Hungerford Town 1.18. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Berkhamsted's matches and 66% of Hungerford Town's.
What form are Berkhamsted and Hungerford Town in?
Over the last 5 games Berkhamsted have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hungerford Town 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town?
The statistical background for Berkhamsted vs Hungerford Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.