Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Berkhamsted presents solid home form with a 42% win rate and a good record in their last five matches (2 points per match). Uxbridge is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (58%), which is a key indicator in this prediction. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded in their respective venues (1.5), and their xG values are similar (1.18 vs 1.2). The visitors' form in the last five games is weaker (0.8 points per match), but their tendency to draw on the road and the balanced offensive statistics argue for a share of the points. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this fixture.
Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Berkhamsted played Uxbridge in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Berkhamsted: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Uxbridge: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Berkhamsted scores 1.29 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Uxbridge scores 1.58 and concedes 1.69. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Berkhamsted 54%, Uxbridge 73%. Over 2.5: Berkhamsted 58%, Uxbridge 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Uxbridge has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.09. Berkhamsted: 2.5 shots per match, Uxbridge: 4.7.
Match halves
Berkhamsted: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.67. Uxbridge: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Berkhamsted: 76-90+ (10 goals). Uxbridge: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Berkhamsted presents solid home form with a 42% win rate and a good record in their last five matches (2 points per match). Uxbridge is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (58%), which is a key indicator in this prediction. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded in their respective venues (1.5), and their xG values are similar (1.18 vs 1.2). The visitors' form in the last five games is weaker (0.8 points per match), but their tendency to draw on the road and the balanced offensive statistics argue for a share of the points. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Berkhamsted | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.22 | 0.76 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Berkhamsted is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 0.8 pts / match - Uxbridge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Uxbridge is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.58 goals / match - Uxbridge
Berkhamsted is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.69 goals / match - Uxbridge
Berkhamsted scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Uxbridge keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Uxbridge scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
Over / Under - Uxbridge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Uxbridge is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 1.62 pts / match - Uxbridge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Uxbridge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Berkhamsted
Uxbridge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Berkhamsted | Liga | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 82% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Berkhamsted 0 - 0 - 1 Uxbridge. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Berkhamsted 3:0 Uxbridge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge?
Berkhamsted score 1.29 goals per game on average and Uxbridge 1.58. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Berkhamsted's matches and 73% of Uxbridge's.
What form are Berkhamsted and Uxbridge in?
Over the last 5 games Berkhamsted have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Uxbridge 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.