Berkhamsted vs Yate Town: match statistics
Berkhamsted demonstrates significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) compared to Yate Town's disastrous away record (-12 goal difference). The hosts have averaged 2.0 points per match in their last five games, while the visitors only 1.4, confirming their superior form. Berkhamsted's key advantages are game control (57% possession) and efficiency (24% shot conversion rate), coupled with defensive solidity at home (31% clean sheets). Yate Town concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game and loses as many as 62% of their away matches, which, with only 8% clean sheets, makes them highly susceptible to defeats. The visitors' away form is alarming with a streak of six consecutive losses, which, given the hosts' stability, favors a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the competitive nature of lower leagues.
Berkhamsted vs Yate Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Berkhamsted played Yate Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Berkhamsted: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Yate Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Berkhamsted scores 1.35 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Yate Town scores 1.24 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Berkhamsted 54%, Yate Town 60%. Over 2.5: Berkhamsted 58%, Yate Town 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Berkhamsted has higher xG: 1.05 vs 1.03. Berkhamsted: 2.5 shots per match, Yate Town: 1.9.
Match halves
Berkhamsted: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.69. Yate Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Berkhamsted: 76-90+ (10 goals). Yate Town: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Berkhamsted demonstrates significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) compared to Yate Town's disastrous away record (-12 goal difference). The hosts have averaged 2.0 points per match in their last five games, while the visitors only 1.4, confirming their superior form. Berkhamsted's key advantages are game control (57% possession) and efficiency (24% shot conversion rate), coupled with defensive solidity at home (31% clean sheets). Yate Town concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game and loses as many as 62% of their away matches, which, with only 8% clean sheets, makes them highly susceptible to defeats. The visitors' away form is alarming with a streak of six consecutive losses, which, given the hosts' stability, favors a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the competitive nature of lower leagues.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Berkhamsted | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.18 | 2.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Berkhamsted is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 1.4 pts / match - Yate Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Berkhamsted is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.24 goals / match - Yate Town
Berkhamsted is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Berkhamsted · 1.52 goals / match - Yate Town
Berkhamsted scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Yate Town scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Berkhamsted keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Berkhamsted
Over / Under - Yate Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Berkhamsted is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Berkhamsted · 1 pts / match - Yate Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Berkhamsted - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Berkhamsted
Yate Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Berkhamsted | Liga | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Yate TownGoalDanny Ball
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Berkhamsted 0 - 1 - 0 Yate Town. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Berkhamsted 1:1 Yate Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
Berkhamsted score 1.35 goals per game on average and Yate Town 1.24. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Berkhamsted's matches and 60% of Yate Town's.
What form are Berkhamsted and Yate Town in?
Over the last 5 games Berkhamsted have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Yate Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
The statistical background for Berkhamsted vs Yate Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.