Beroe vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
Beroe vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beroe played CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Beroe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. CSKA Sofia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beroe scores 0.67 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. CSKA Sofia scores 1.41 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beroe 41%, CSKA Sofia 41%. Over 2.5: Beroe 44%, CSKA Sofia 33%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.17. Beroe: 9.0 shots per match, CSKA Sofia: 16.5.
Match halves
Beroe: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.37. CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Beroe: 46-60 (5 goals). CSKA Sofia: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beroe sit 14th with only 4 wins and 18 goals this season; at home they average 0.62 goals per match, concede 1.31 and have 46% of games without a goal, which limits their offensive threat. CSKA Sofia are 4th with 14 wins and 38 goals; away they average 14.23 shots and 4.08 shots on target per game, as well as 1.0 goal per game and 1.8 points in the last 5 matches. The quality gap is confirmed by xG: Beroe’s home xG is 1.23, while CSKA generate xG 1.8 on the road; the hosts concede xG against of 1.82 versus 1.27 for the visitors, indicating better defensive organization from CSKA. Additionally, Beroe have scored only 1 goal in the last 5 matches and average 0.8 points per game in that period, while CSKA have 5 goals and 1.8 points per game, demonstrating the visitors’ form and efficiency. Given the advantage in chances created (14.23 vs 9.54 shots), higher xG (1.8 vs 1.23) and superior defensive stats, I predict a CSKA win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' — meaning both teams will not score. Beroe at home records a 43% clean sheet rate and concedes only 0.57 goals per game with xG against 0.92, indicating a solid home defense. CSKA Sofia average 1.0 goals on the road and have a season BTTS rate of just 31%; despite an attacking xG of 1.8, their finishing limits matches where both teams score. Additionally, in the last 5 matches both teams show 0% BTTS (0.0% and 0.0%), confirming a current trend toward one-sided games, while the league average BTTS is 44%. Although Beroe has a higher attacking xG of 2.25 versus CSKA’s 1.8 and averages 1.79 goals per game, their chance creation does not offset the high home clean sheet rate and the visitors’ low BTTS rate. Therefore I assign 70% to 'No' and 30% to 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG and opposing statistics forecasts 1.76 goals for Beroe (average of 2.25 home attacking xG and 1.27 xG conceded against CSKA) and 1.36 for CSKA (average of 1.80 away xG and 0.92 xG conceded to the hosts), totaling 3.12 goals. This season Beroe scores 1.79 goals at home on average and registers 18.57 shots (6.07 on target), while CSKA has 38 goals scored this season; the hosts have conceded 39 goals, which favors a higher-scoring game. Both teams have a high share of matches with over 1.5 goals: Beroe 64% at home and CSKA 69% away, so the strongest signal is for Over 1.5. The expected 3.12 goals also makes Over 2.5 goals a sensible secondary option, whereas Over 3.5 goals is unlikely (seasonal Over 3.5: 29% for Beroe and 15% for CSKA).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Beroe led at the break in 7 matches (50% of their games) compared to 4 (31%) for CSKA, and the hosts score an average of 1.79 goals and concede 0.57 per home match. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 2.25 versus CSKA’s 1.80, and the hosts register more on-target shots (6.07 vs 4.08), indicating a clear advantage in chance creation. In the first half Beroe average 0.71 goals and concede 0.29, while in the second half they average 1.07 goals versus CSKA’s 0.46, which increases the likelihood of maintaining or extending a lead. The difference in second-half effectiveness (ppg 2.21 for Beroe vs 1.15 for CSKA) and the season-long 71% home win rate versus 31% for away teams support the HT/FT scenario of Beroe leading at the break and the hosts winning at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beroe | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Beroe · 1.8 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Beroe · 1.41 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Beroe · 0.81 goals / match - CSKA Sofia
Beroe scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
CSKA Sofia scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Beroe keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beroe
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Beroe · 1.63 pts / match - CSKA Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beroe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Beroe | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.36 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Beroe 0 - 0 - 1 CSKA Sofia. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Beroe vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Beroe 0:3 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Beroe vs CSKA Sofia?
Beroe score 0.67 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 1.41. The First League average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Beroe's matches and 41% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Beroe and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Beroe have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beroe vs CSKA Sofia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.