Beroe vs Yantra 2019: match statistics

Beroe have been very solid at home: they have won 80% of their matches, are yet to suffer a home defeat, and average 1.6 goals per game. The hosts concede just 0.2 goals per home match and have kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games, which contrasts sharply with Yantra 2019’s away average of just 0.75 goals scored. Beroe also create higher-quality chances, recording an average xG of 1.50 compared with the visitors’ 1.27, while Yantra allow opponents an xG of 1.61. The visitors register slightly more shots on target, 4.67 compared with 4.2, but their conversion rate is only 7%, versus 14% for Beroe. The teams’ last five matches do not indicate a significant form advantage, but Beroe’s dominant home record and Yantra’s poor away efficiency support a home win.

A No Goal scenario for both teams is more likely, primarily due to Beroe’s very low seasonal BTTS rate of just 17%, compared with the league average of 48%. Yantra scores only 0.75 goals per match on average, while Beroe concedes just 0.83 goals and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of its matches, significantly limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts should create more opportunities, as their average xG stands at 1.64, compared with 1.09 xG allowed by the defence, while Yantra has a shot conversion rate of only 7%. Beroe’s last five matches did produce BTTS in 60% of cases, but Yantra recorded BTTS in only 20% of those matches and conceded an average of 0.8 goals. The most realistic outcome therefore remains one in which Beroe scores and Yantra fails to reply, although the hosts’ form increases the risk of a goal for the visitors.

Beroe average 1.50 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded at home, while Yantra score just 0.75 goals per away match. The hosts have higher attacking xG averages, 1.64 compared to 1.27, while Beroe’s defensive xG stands at 1.09, limiting the visitors’ expected output. Across the season, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 83% of Beroe’s matches and in all of Yantra’s games, with four or more goals occurring in just 17% and 0% of cases, respectively. The 2.5 line is more balanced, as Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Beroe’s last five matches, but Yantra recorded this outcome in only 20% of cases. The projected total of 2.32 goals points primarily to a clear advantage for the Under 3.5 goals bet.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Beroe win, as the hosts were level at the break in 5 of their last 6 matches, or 83% of cases. The opening stages should be cautious: Beroe average 0.67 goals before half-time, compared with Yantra’s 0.25, while both teams keep a clean sheet at the break in 83% and 75% of matches, respectively. After the interval, Beroe’s advantage should grow, as the hosts score an average of 0.83 goals and concede 0.50, whereas Yantra concede as many as 1.00 goals. Across the season, Beroe win 67% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals, while Yantra lose 50% of their away fixtures and concede an average of 1.25 goals. The quality gap is also reflected in the xG figures: 1.64 for Beroe compared with Yantra’s 1.27, while the visitors’ defensive xG stands at 1.61.