Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor: match statistics

Beşiktaş sit 4th, one place above Eyüpspor, but the visitors’ current form is marginally better: they have averaged 2.2 points per match over their last five fixtures, compared with 2.0 for the hosts. Eyüpspor remain unbeaten during this period, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Beşiktaş have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The visitors are also clearly more prolific, scoring 13 goals in five matches—6 more than Beşiktaş’s 7. However, the hosts’ defence has been slightly more reliable, conceding 4 goals compared with Eyüpspor’s 5, which, combined with home advantage, should limit the visitors’ attacking edge. Eyüpspor’s strong run of form and Beşiktaş’s more solid defence point towards a closely contested draw.

The latest form of both teams points to an open contest: Beşiktaş have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, while Eyüpspor have averaged as many as 2.6. Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 matches involving the visitors, compared with 2 of the hosts’ 5 games. Beşiktaş have nevertheless conceded an average of 0.8 goals, and Eyüpspor 1.0, giving each side a realistic route to finding the net. Beşiktaş’s high xG over their last five matches, at 2.28, along with the 1.71 xG conceded by Eyüpspor, particularly strengthens the hosts’ chances of scoring. The BTTS - Yes pick is therefore moderately stronger, although Beşiktaş’s relatively solid defence limits the advantage of this option.

The available form from the last five matches points to a game with goal-scoring potential, but without clear grounds to expect four goals: Beşiktaş averaged 1.4 goals, while Eyüpspor averaged 2.6. However, the hosts created significantly more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 2.28 compared to the 1.71 xG conceded by Eyüpspor, supporting a projection of around 1.65 goals for Beşiktaş. The visitors’ attack generated only 1.14 xG per match, while Beşiktaş conceded an average of 0.8 goals and 1.46 xG, leaving their projection close to 1.00 goal. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Eyüpspor’s last five matches, but in only 40% of Beşiktaş’s games, while the combined projection of 2.65 goals more clearly favors Under 3.5. The Under 3.5 line has the edge, as the scenario of three or fewer goals also covers the likely scorelines of 1:1, 2:0, 2:1 and 1:2.

The strongest signal points to Eyüpspor leading at the break: in their last five matches, the visitors took the lead in 80% of games, compared with just 20% for Beşiktaş. Eyüpspor averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before half-time, while the hosts scored only 0.4 and conceded 0.6 during this phase. Eyüpspor remain unbeaten in their last five outings, recording three wins and two draws, and their average of 2.6 goals per match is clearly superior to Beşiktaş’s 1.4. The hosts are more dangerous after the break, averaging 1.0 goal scored and just 0.2 conceded, meaning turnaround scenarios retain a significant share. Nevertheless, the visitors’ first-half advantage, combined with their average of 1.0 goal after the interval, makes the 2/2 outcome the most likely.