Latvia - VirsligaData current as of 05 August 2026

BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: match statistics

Reasoning:

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BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

BFC Daugavpils play Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 8 August 2026.

Current form

BFC Daugavpils: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tukums: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

BFC Daugavpils scores 1.24 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.60 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: BFC Daugavpils 56%, Tukums 88%. Over 2.5: BFC Daugavpils 44%, Tukums 76%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.41. BFC Daugavpils: 12.9 shots per match, Tukums: 11.9.

Match halves

BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84. Tukums: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (14 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-1. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.93)
(3.75)
(3.16)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BFC DaugavpilsTukums
1.24Goals scored / match1.6
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
1.24Goals conceded / match1.96
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
47%Average possession43%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
4.84Shots on target / match4.64
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.92Shots per match11.92
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
4.84Shots on target4.64
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
9.6%Shot conversion13.4%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
47%Possession43%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
1.56xG for1.41
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
1.6xG against1.74
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

Shooting quality

BFC Daugavpils: BalancedTukums: Counter-attacking
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
Accuracy (shots on target)37%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

BFC Daugavpils is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 0.6 pts / match - Tukums

BFC Daugavpils
LWWLW
Season result split
36% W24% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-10
1.32 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-5
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Tukums
LLLLW
Season result split
16% W32% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-13
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-8
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tukums is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.6 goals / match - Tukums

BFC Daugavpils is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.24 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.96 goals / match - Tukums

BFC Daugavpils scoring profile: very strong

BFC Daugavpils scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 25 matches).

Tukums scoring profile: very strong

Tukums scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

31Goals scored (season)40
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
31Goals conceded (season)49
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
2.48Average goals in match3.56
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
10Goals scored (last 5)5
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal92%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
32%2 goals32%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
16%3 goals16%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
4%4 goals8%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal96%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
24%2 goals60%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
16%3 goals36%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
8%4 goals4%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time40%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0%BTTS in both halves8%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
24%Scored in both halves28%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS68%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
60%BTTS - last 580%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time64%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BFC Daugavpils is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.04 pts / match - Tukums

BFC Daugavpils - half-time state
28% leading48% draw24% trailing
Tukums - half-time state
24% leading32% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.04
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.8
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)1.04
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0.72Average goals (1st half)1.84
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
72%Clean sheet before half-time28%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
68%No goal before half-time40%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per match (2nd half)1.2
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.72
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
32%Clean sheet after half-time32%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
36%No goal after half-time40%
BFC DaugavpilsTukums

BFC Daugavpils - second-half results

20% W52% R28% P
33
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums - second-half results

28% W36% R36% P
26
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BFC Daugavpils - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tukums - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

BFC Daugavpils
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
14
11
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Tukums
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
5
11
16-30
11
9
31-45
4
8
46-60
4
8
61-75
12
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

BFC Daugavpils

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Tukums

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

BFC DaugavpilsLigaTukums
Average goals in match 2.482.96 3.56
Both teams scored 56%55% 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%55% 76%
Clean sheets 24%24% 4%
Goal before half-time 56%76% 92%
Goal after half-time 84%83% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): BFC Daugavpils 2 - 3 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Tukums
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
FK Tukums 2000
0 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
1 : 2
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
0 : 0
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
3 : 0
FK Tukums 2000

FAQ

When do BFC Daugavpils and Tukums play?

BFC Daugavpils face Tukums on 8 August 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between BFC Daugavpils and Tukums?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches BFC Daugavpils won 2, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?

BFC Daugavpils score 1.24 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.60. The Virsliga average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of BFC Daugavpils's matches and 88% of Tukums's.

What form are BFC Daugavpils and Tukums in?

Over the last 5 games BFC Daugavpils have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tukums 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.