Bhayangkara vs Madura United: match statistics
Bhayangkara vs Madura United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bhayangkara played Madura United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Bhayangkara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Madura United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bhayangkara scores 1.35 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Madura United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bhayangkara 58%, Madura United 55%. Over 2.5: Bhayangkara 52%, Madura United 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Bhayangkara has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.28. Bhayangkara: 10.4 shots per match, Madura United: 10.8.
Match halves
Bhayangkara: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.68. Madura United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Bhayangkara: 76-90+ (10 goals). Madura United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bhayangkara has a clear home advantage: 60% home wins, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match with a +10 home goal difference; their average xG is 1.39 versus xG against 1.18. Madura United perform worse away — they average 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, have a -11 away goal difference, average xG for 1.08 versus xG against 1.91, and 40% of away matches without scoring. However, recent form favors the visitors: Madura have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points in that period, while Bhayangkara have only 1 win and 0.6 points per match in their last 5. Considering the hosts’ better finishing (15% shot conversion at home vs 10% for the visitors), more shots on target (3.87 vs 3.07) and low percentage of matches without scoring for Bhayangkara (7% vs 40%), I predict a home win, although Madura’s form reduces the edge and gives a realistic chance of a draw or upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Bhayangkara has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% versus Madura United's 47% and a league average of 52%, with the last 5 matches at 100% and 60% respectively, which strongly supports both teams scoring. On the season Bhayangkara averages 1.19 goals scored and concedes 1.50, Madura scores 0.93 and concedes 1.67, meaning both teams tend to concede around 1.5–1.7 goals per game. In the last 5 matches Bhayangkara scored 7 and conceded 11 (avg 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded), while Madura scored 8 and conceded 4 (avg 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded), indicating the hosts have recently been leaky and the visitors can find the net. Additionally xG and shot metrics confirm the goal outlook: Bhayangkara has an attacking xG of 1.46 with 3.88 shots on target, and Madura records a conceded xG of 1.91 with an average of 3.07 shots on target against; clean sheet percentage is a low 19% and 20% for both sides. Based on this I pick BTTS = Yes at 75% (No 25%) as the most likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.69 xG for Bhayangkara and 1.28 xG for Madura United (total 2.97); these figures derive from average xG: Bhayangkara has offensive xG 1.46 and xG against 1.47, Madura has offensive xG 1.08 and xG against 1.91. On a season level the home side had 75% of matches with over 1.5 goals, the visitors 67%, and both teams register over 0.5 goals in 88% and 93% of matches respectively, which reduces the risk of a low-scoring game. Over 2.5 also has justification — season rates are 63% for Bhayangkara and 47% for Madura, and in the last 5 matches Bhayangkara had all 5 over 2.5 (100%), therefore I estimate Over 2.5 at 58%. Over 3.5 looks less likely: season values 25% and 33% and the limited frequency of >3-goal games point to Under 3.5 (71%). Based on this the best signal is Over 1.5 (selected side: Over, line 1.5), because the expected 2.97 goals and the home team’s high share above 1.5 (75%) give a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Madura United has a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they won 4 of 5 (80%) and led at the break in all five games (100%), indicating strong openings. Bhayangkara, however, creates more chances (on average 12.13 shots and xG 1.46 versus 9.4 shots and xG 1.08 for Madura) and has led at the break in 38% of their seasonal matches compared to 27% for the visitors, so they have a theoretical offensive edge in the first half. The second half yields a lot of goals (in second halves at least 1 goal in 81% of the home team’s matches and 87% of the away team’s matches), meaning many outcomes are decided after the break; nonetheless Madura’s recent form (80% wins and 100% leads at the break) suggests the visitors are most likely to take and hold a lead. Weighing seasonal statistics and recent performances, I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 HT/FT scenario (31%), with X/2 (11%) and X/1 (11%) as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bhayangkara | Madura United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Madura United is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bhayangkara · 2.4 pts / match - Madura United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bhayangkara is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Bhayangkara · 1.06 goals / match - Madura United
Bhayangkara is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Bhayangkara · 1.58 goals / match - Madura United
Bhayangkara scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Madura United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Madura United scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Bhayangkara keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bhayangkara
Over / Under - Madura United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bhayangkara is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Bhayangkara · 1.42 pts / match - Madura United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bhayangkara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Madura United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bhayangkara
Madura United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bhayangkara | Liga | Madura United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.73 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bhayangkara 0 - 1 - 0 Madura United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bhayangkara vs Madura United?
The Liga 1 match finished Bhayangkara 3:1 Madura United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bhayangkara vs Madura United?
Bhayangkara score 1.35 goals per game on average and Madura United 1.06. The Liga 1 average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Bhayangkara's matches and 55% of Madura United's.
What form are Bhayangkara and Madura United in?
Over the last 5 games Bhayangkara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Madura United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bhayangkara vs Madura United?
The statistical background for Bhayangkara vs Madura United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.