Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor: match statistics
Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bhayangkara played PSBS Biak Numfor in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Venue: Stadion Patriot. Final score: 7:0.
Current form
Bhayangkara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. PSBS Biak Numfor: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bhayangkara scores 1.39 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. PSBS Biak Numfor scores 0.94 and concedes 2.67. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bhayangkara 61%, PSBS Biak Numfor 58%. Over 2.5: Bhayangkara 55%, PSBS Biak Numfor 73%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Bhayangkara has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. Bhayangkara: 10.8 shots per match, PSBS Biak Numfor: 10.6.
Match halves
Bhayangkara: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.76. PSBS Biak Numfor: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Bhayangkara: 76-90+ (11 goals). PSBS Biak Numfor: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bhayangkara are favorites: they sit 7th in the table versus PSBS in 18th and have 15 wins this season compared to just 4 away wins for PSBS. Offensively the hosts are clearly more effective—at home they average 1.75 goals and have 46 goals this season, while PSBS average 0.88 goals on the road and have 31 goals overall; in the last 5 matches Bhayangkara scored 8 goals versus only 2 for PSBS. The visitors’ defense is highly vulnerable: PSBS concede 2.94 goals per away match with an average xG against of 2.11, whereas Bhayangkara concede 1.00 at home with xG against 1.18; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 23 goals versus 13 for the hosts. Additionally, the hosts register more shots (11.94 vs 8.94), more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.5) and higher conversion rate (15% vs 10%), and Bhayangkara’s clean sheet rate is 31% versus 6% for PSBS, which further supports a home win. Considering the goal difference gap (+12 for Bhayangkara vs -33 for PSBS) and PSBS’s zero points in their last 5 matches, the most likely outcome is a Bhayangkara victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 68% probability because Bhayangkara concedes an average of 2.41 goals this season (2.6 in the last 5), and PSBS concedes 2.94 goals this season (4.6 in the last 5), indicating significant defensive vulnerability on both sides. Bhayangkara has BTTS at 100% in the last 5 matches and scores an average of 1.6 goals (8 goals in 5), with a recent xG of 1.61, so the home side consistently creates and converts chances. PSBS, despite a poor short-term scoring output (0.4 goals in the last 5, 2 goals in 5), has a seasonal BTTS of 69% and registers a comparable number of shots on target (3.5 vs 3.35 for the hosts), while a 10% conversion rate versus 8% for the hosts shows they can capitalize on limited opportunities. Additionally, the high share of matches over 2.5 goals (71% for hosts and 75% for visitors), low clean sheet percentages (12% and 6%) and the fact PSBS has conceded 88 goals this season all reinforce the both-teams-to-score scenario. Given these figures the 'Yes' signal is stronger than 'No' (68% vs 32%), mainly due to Bhayangkara's 100% BTTS in the last 5 and PSBS's high goals conceded.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals at 1.74 for Bhayangkara and 1.50 for PSBS (calculated as the average: (xG home attack 1.37 + xG against away 2.11)/2 = 1.74 and (xG away attack 1.07 + xG against home 1.94)/2 = 1.50), yielding a total of 3.24 goals. A Poisson model for total xG=3.24 indicates probability of Over 1.5 at around 83% (probability of 0 or 1 goal ≈16.6%), Over 2.5 around 63% and Over 3.5 around 41%. Seasonal metrics confirm a tendency toward high-scoring games: percentage of matches Over 1.5 is 76% (Bhayangkara) and 88% (PSBS), and Over 2.5 is 71% and 75%; in the last 5 matches Bhayangkara was Over 2.5 in 100% and scored 8 goals (avg 1.6), while PSBS conceded on average 4.6 goals in their last 5. Both teams have high season concession rates (Bhayangkara 2.41, PSBS 2.94), which increases the chance of more goals in the match. Therefore I recommend backing the Over 1.5 line as the strongest signal (probability ≈83%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The likelihood of a draw at half-time is high: the home side were level at the break in 53% of their matches, the away side in 38%, yielding an approximate 45% probability of a half-time draw. In the second half the chance-creation advantage favors Bhayangkara — on average 12.12 shots and 1.37 xG versus 8.94 shots and 1.07 xG for the visitors — and over the last five matches the home team scored on average 1.6 goals while the away team managed only 0.4. The visitors have serious defensive issues: they concede 2.94 goals on the season, and in their last five fixtures they conceded an average of 4.6 goals and lost 100% of those games, which increases the probability of a turnaround after the break. Additionally, the second half often produces goals — 76% of the home team’s matches and 94% of the away team’s matches featured at least one goal after half-time — so I expect the match to be decided after the break in favor of the home side. For these reasons the most reliable signal is a Half-Time draw and a Bhayangkara Full-Time win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bhayangkara | PSBS Biak Numfor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bhayangkara is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Bhayangkara · 0.94 goals / match - PSBS Biak Numfor
Bhayangkara is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Bhayangkara · 2.67 goals / match - PSBS Biak Numfor
Bhayangkara scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while PSBS Biak Numfor keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
PSBS Biak Numfor scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Bhayangkara keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bhayangkara
Over / Under - PSBS Biak Numfor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bhayangkara is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Bhayangkara · 0.73 pts / match - PSBS Biak Numfor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bhayangkara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSBS Biak Numfor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -17 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): -20 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bhayangkara
PSBS Biak Numfor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bhayangkara | Liga | PSBS Biak Numfor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bhayangkara 0 - 0 - 1 PSBS Biak Numfor. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
The Liga 1 match finished Bhayangkara 7:0 PSBS Biak Numfor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Bhayangkara score 1.39 goals per game on average and PSBS Biak Numfor 0.94. The Liga 1 average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Bhayangkara's matches and 58% of PSBS Biak Numfor's.
What form are Bhayangkara and PSBS Biak Numfor in?
Over the last 5 games Bhayangkara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and PSBS Biak Numfor 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bhayangkara vs PSBS Biak Numfor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.