Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace: match statistics
Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bijelo Brdo played Hrvace in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bijelo Brdo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hrvace: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bijelo Brdo scores 0.93 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Hrvace scores 1.17 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bijelo Brdo 27%, Hrvace 50%. Over 2.5: Bijelo Brdo 27%, Hrvace 60%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Bijelo Brdo has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.22. Bijelo Brdo: 10.1 shots per match, Hrvace: 8.9.
Match halves
Bijelo Brdo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67. Hrvace: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Bijelo Brdo: 61-75 (8 goals). Hrvace: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bijelo Brdo are the favorites: they sit 5th and at home record 50% wins, averaging 1.14 goals scored and only 0.36 conceded per match. Hrvace are 8th, have 35 goals this season and 11 goals in the last 5 matches, but away they average just 0.87 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In terms of chance quality the hosts generate average xG 1.62 at home with xG against 0.90, while the visitors have xG 1.23 away and xG against 1.52, which indicates a home advantage in chance creation and lower risk of conceding. Bijelo Brdo’s key edge is defense: 79% of home matches end with a clean sheet versus only 13% clean sheets for Hrvace on the road, significantly limiting the opponent’s offensive potential. Considering the hosts’ strong defense and xG advantage (1.62 vs 1.23) I assign a 58% probability to a home win, 24% to a draw and 18% to a Hrvace win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 47% for Bijelo Brdo and 53% for Hrvace, versus a league average of 43%, providing a mildly favorable signal for BTTS - Yes. Both teams’ xG are nearly identical: 1.22 (Bijelo Brdo) vs 1.23 (Hrvace), while actual goals per game are 1.47 vs 0.87; Hrvace concedes more (1.73) than Bijelo Brdo (1.07). In the last 5 matches Bijelo Brdo scored 3 goals (0.6 per game) with BTTS in 20% of fixtures, whereas Hrvace scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) with BTTS in 60% of matches, so Hrvace is clearly in stronger attacking form. Bijelo Brdo have a 33% clean sheet rate this season, Hrvace only 13%, which further increases the likelihood of goals for both sides; on this basis I prefer the "yes" option (58% vs 42%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I select Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: season-long Over 1.5 rates are 67% for Bijelo Brdo and 73% for Hrvace. The xG model shows 1.37 xG for the home side and 1.15 xG for the away side, giving an expected total of 2.52 goals, which clearly exceeds 1.5 goals. In the last 5 matches Bijelo Brdo have scored 3 goals (0.6 avg) and Hrvace 11 goals (2.2 avg); additionally Hrvace concedes on average 1.73 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of goals. Season-long Over 2.5 rates are 53%/67% (home/away), so I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (~58%), whereas season-long Over 3.5 are 27%/20% and I estimate it low (~22%). In summary, the 1.5 line on the Over side is the safest due to xG 1.37/1.15, high season-long Over 1.5 rates and the current scoring form of the away team.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows a clear home advantage: Bijelo Brdo scores an average of 1.47 goals per match versus Hrvace’s 0.87 and concedes 1.07 compared to the visitors’ 1.73, translating to 47% home wins versus 20% away wins this season. At half-time the home side led in 7 matches (47%) and average 0.73 goals by the break versus Hrvace’s 0.53, increasing the likelihood of a 1-0 lead at the break. Despite similar xG (1.22 for the hosts vs 1.23 for the visitors), the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 10%) and a lower expected goals conceded figure (1.06 vs 1.52), suggesting better chance conversion and more robust defending. In the second half Bijelo Brdo earns an average of 1.53 points while the visitors only 0.53, so the hosts more often maintain or extend their advantage; therefore the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1) is the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bijelo Brdo | Hrvace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hrvace is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bijelo Brdo · 1.8 pts / match - Hrvace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hrvace is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Bijelo Brdo · 1.17 goals / match - Hrvace
Bijelo Brdo is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Bijelo Brdo · 1.4 goals / match - Hrvace
Bijelo Brdo scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Hrvace keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Hrvace scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Bijelo Brdo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bijelo Brdo
Over / Under - Hrvace
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hrvace is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Bijelo Brdo · 1.4 pts / match - Hrvace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bijelo Brdo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hrvace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bijelo Brdo
Hrvace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Bijelo Brdo | Liga | Hrvace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bijelo Brdo 0 - 0 - 2 Hrvace. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace?
The Druga HNL match finished Bijelo Brdo 1:0 Hrvace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bijelo Brdo and Hrvace?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bijelo Brdo won 0, Hrvace won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace?
Bijelo Brdo score 0.93 goals per game on average and Hrvace 1.17. The Druga HNL average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Bijelo Brdo's matches and 50% of Hrvace's.
What form are Bijelo Brdo and Hrvace in?
Over the last 5 games Bijelo Brdo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hrvace 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.