Bilje vs Brežice: match statistics

Brežice are showing significantly better current form: they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Bilje have won just once and suffered 4 defeats. The visitors have scored 13 goals during this period, averaging 2.6 per match, whereas the hosts have found the net only 3 times, averaging 0.6. The defensive advantage is equally clear, with Brežice conceding just 3 goals in 5 matches compared with Bilje’s 7. Although Bilje occupy 2nd place in the table, while their opponents are 4th, the current trend is unequivocal: the hosts have lost their last three matches, whereas Brežice are unbeaten in five. Given this disparity in attacking efficiency and defensive stability, an away win is the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Bilje’s weak offense: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game, while their xG was only 0.88. Brežice, meanwhile, have shown a very solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last 5 appearances, with opposition xG allowed at only 0.35. Bilje recorded BTTS in just 20% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Brežice, which does not provide sufficient support for a Goal/Goal outcome. The visitors should have a good chance of scoring, having averaged 2.6 goals, while Bilje conceded 1.4, but the more likely scenario is that the hosts fail to find the net.

Bilje have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while their average xG was just 0.88. Brežice are in significantly better form, scoring 13 times in their last five appearances, but their average xG stands at only 1.01, which does not support sustained potential for very high-scoring games. The visitors’ defense conceded just 3 goals and 0.35 xG per match during this period, making it difficult to project more than approximately 0.55 goals for the hosts. Although 60% of Brežice’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, Bilje’s low rate of matches with goals scored by both teams, at 20%, combined with the visitors’ solid defense, primarily points to a result below 3.5 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Brežice win at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 100% of their last five matches. The first halves were also very tightly contested: Brežice averaged 0.33 goals scored and conceded, while Bilje recorded 0.4 goals for and against. After the break, however, the visitors’ advantage is clear: they averaged 1.33 goals scored and conceded none, winning the second half in 100% of those matches. Bilje managed just 0.2 goals after the interval, conceded 1.0, and lost 60% of the second halves. The difference is also reflected in their overall form: Brežice won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored, while Bilje lost 4 of 5 and scored only 0.6 goals per match.