Bilje vs Gorica: match statistics
Bilje vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bilje played Gorica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Bilje: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Gorica: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bilje scores 0.75 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Gorica scores 0.80 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bilje 45%, Gorica 65%. Over 2.5: Bilje 40%, Gorica 55%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Gorica has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.23. Bilje: 9.3 shots per match, Gorica: 10.1.
Match halves
Bilje: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.45. Gorica: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Bilje: 31-45+ (4 goals). Gorica: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bilje occupies a higher position and shows better defensive metrics at home (avg 0.6 goals conceded at home) and a higher average OT (4.33) than Gorica away. However, Bilje is in poor recent form (0.2 PPG and only 1 goal in the last 5 matches), limiting their offensive potential. Gorica sit lower in the table but have better recent results (1.2 PPG) and a high number of draws this season, indicating a match with a high probability of shared points. Both teams exhibit low finishing rates and a high share of home matches without goals, so I expect few goals. Considering Bilje’s home advantage and Gorica’s current form, a draw is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates a moderate probability of BTTS - Yes due to both teams' strong seasonal indicators — Bilje season BTTS 80% vs Gorica 50%. However Bilje have recently struggled to score (last5 scored avg 0.2) and show low finishing, which reduces the hosts' likelihood to score despite their season-long goal involvement. Gorica's recent away attacking form is better (gf_last5_away 4.0, last5 xG_for 1.33) and Bilje concede heavily at home (ga_l5_home 17.0), increasing the visitors’ chance to score. Low clean sheet percentages for both sides (20% and 10%) and similar xG_for/xG_against suggest an open game with goals from both teams. Considering the contrast between Bilje's season BTTS tendency and their poor recent scoring form, I lean BTTS - Yes with moderate confidence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and shot metrics: average xG (1.35 vs 1.2) and xG against (1.27 vs 1.53) sum to ~2.68 expected goals. Both teams show high rates for matches with >0.5 and >1.5 goals (Bilje 80%/80%, Gorica 90%/70%), and BTTS is particularly high for Bilje (80%), supporting a goal-heavy match. Gorica has better recent scoring form over the last 5, while Bilje concedes frequently, increasing goal likelihood. Lines above 2.5 are moderately likely (~58%), while >3.5 remain unlikely. Strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to consistent scoring tempo and xG advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a strong probability of a draw at half-time: both teams have low first-half goal averages (0.4 vs 0.3) and a high HT draw rate (especially the home side 60%). The season profile shows a prevalence of draws and low attacking efficiency for both teams, which favors a draw at full-time. Although Gorica has a higher FT win share than Bilje, the data suggest frequent maintenance of a draw for most of the match. Therefore the most likely and strongest data signal is HT/FT draw/draw (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bilje | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Bilje · 1.2 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Bilje · 0.8 goals / match - Gorica
Gorica is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Bilje · 1.5 goals / match - Gorica
Bilje scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Gorica scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Bilje keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bilje
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bilje is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bilje · 0.8 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bilje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bilje
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Bilje | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BiljeGoalKalani Carrilho dos Santos Almeida
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bilje 0 - 1 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bilje vs Gorica?
The 2. SNL match finished Bilje 3:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bilje vs Gorica?
Bilje score 0.75 goals per game on average and Gorica 0.80. The 2. SNL average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Bilje's matches and 65% of Gorica's.
What form are Bilje and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Bilje have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Gorica 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bilje vs Gorica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bilje vs Gorica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.