Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: match statistics
Birmingham City presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference at their own stadium. Middlesbrough sits second in the table, yet their away form is significantly weaker—only 47% away wins and 24% of matches without scoring. The last five matches for both teams show identical scoring records (1.6 PPG), suggesting balanced form. Birmingham holds the possession metrics (55% vs 59%), but Middlesbrough demonstrates better efficiency in overall matches. Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the marginal difference in xG, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Birmingham, though a draw appears the most likely outcome.
Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham City played Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match was played on 2 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Birmingham City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Middlesbrough: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham City scores 1.32 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham City 56%, Middlesbrough 56%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 50%, Middlesbrough 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.50. Birmingham City: 14.0 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 14.9.
Match halves
Birmingham City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Birmingham City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Middlesbrough: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference at their own stadium. Middlesbrough sits second in the table, yet their away form is significantly weaker—only 47% away wins and 24% of matches without scoring. The last five matches for both teams show identical scoring records (1.6 PPG), suggesting balanced form. Birmingham holds the possession metrics (55% vs 59%), but Middlesbrough demonstrates better efficiency in overall matches. Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the marginal difference in xG, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Birmingham, though a draw appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.6 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.5 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Middlesbrough scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.35 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.59 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 1 Middlesbrough. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:3 Middlesbrough. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham City score 1.32 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 1.50. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Birmingham City's matches and 56% of Middlesbrough's.
What form are Birmingham City and Middlesbrough in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Middlesbrough 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.