Birmingham City vs Preston North End: match statistics
Birmingham City vs Preston North End: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham City play Preston North End in Championship (England). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Birmingham City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Preston North End: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham City scores 1.24 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Preston North End scores 1.20 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham City 57%, Preston North End 59%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 46%, Preston North End 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.26. Birmingham City: 13.6 shots per match, Preston North End: 10.9.
Match halves
Birmingham City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Preston North End: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Birmingham City: 16-30 (11 goals). Preston North End: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Birmingham holds a clear advantage in home metrics: on average 1.67 goals per home match versus Preston’s 1.1 on the road, 17.57 average shots and 5.67 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 10.24 and 3.57. The gap in chance quality is even more pronounced in xG — Birmingham generates 1.91 xG per home game on average, while Preston has 1.17 xG away, and Preston concedes 1.62 xG on the road versus the hosts’ 1.02 xG. Defensively the hosts concede 0.95 goals per home game on average versus 1.33 conceded by Preston away, and Birmingham keeps a clean sheet in 33% of home matches versus 19% for the visitors, providing a tangible defensive edge. However, recent form over the last five matches favors Preston — the visitors have scored 8 goals and averaged 1.6 points in their last 5, while Birmingham have just 4 goals and 0.8 points in that period, which diminishes the home advantage. Considering Birmingham’s dominance in chance creation, a low 10% rate of matches without scoring, and superior defensive metrics, I assign higher probability to a home win with a distribution of 60% home win, 25% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Preston North End | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.2 pts / match - Preston North End
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.35 goals / match - Preston North End
Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
Preston North End scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Birmingham City
Over / Under — Preston North End
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Preston North End is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.3 pts / match - Preston North End
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham City
Preston North End
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Preston North End | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.59 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Birmingham City 1 - 0 - 0 Preston North End. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 2:1 Preston North End. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
Birmingham City score 1.24 goals per game on average and Preston North End 1.20. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's matches and 59% of Preston North End's.
What form are Birmingham City and Preston North End in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Preston North End 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Preston North End — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.