Birmingham City vs Stoke City: match statistics
Birmingham City presents impressive home form with a 54% win rate and an average of 2.08 goals per match at home, which, combined with just 8% losses at their own stadium, gives them a clear advantage. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters and scoring 9 goals, while their advantage in possession (54%) and high shot effectiveness (5.38 on target per match) indicate offensive strength. Stoke City, despite a decent table position, has problems on away trips – 43% losses and as many as 43% of matches without a scored goal, averaging just 1 goal per away match. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.9 for Birmingham in home matches against 1.22 for Stoke away. Considering the goal difference (+14 for Birmingham at home vs +1 for Stoke away) and the current form of both teams, Birmingham City has real chances of securing three points, although Stoke can be an uncomfortable rival, justifying leaving room for a draw.
Birmingham City vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham City played Stoke City in Championship (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Birmingham City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stoke City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham City scores 1.36 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Stoke City scores 1.18 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham City 57%, Stoke City 36%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 50%, Stoke City 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.31. Birmingham City: 14.2 shots per match, Stoke City: 11.5.
Match halves
Birmingham City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Stoke City: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Birmingham City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Stoke City: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City presents impressive home form with a 54% win rate and an average of 2.08 goals per match at home, which, combined with just 8% losses at their own stadium, gives them a clear advantage. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters and scoring 9 goals, while their advantage in possession (54%) and high shot effectiveness (5.38 on target per match) indicate offensive strength. Stoke City, despite a decent table position, has problems on away trips – 43% losses and as many as 43% of matches without a scored goal, averaging just 1 goal per away match. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: 1.9 for Birmingham in home matches against 1.22 for Stoke away. Considering the goal difference (+14 for Birmingham at home vs +1 for Stoke away) and the current form of both teams, Birmingham City has real chances of securing three points, although Stoke can be an uncomfortable rival, justifying leaving room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.4 pts / match - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.18 goals / match - Stoke City
Stoke City is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Birmingham City · 0.89 goals / match - Stoke City
Birmingham City scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Stoke City scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.5 pts / match - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham City
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 1 Stoke City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:1 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
Birmingham City score 1.36 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.18. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's matches and 36% of Stoke City's.
What form are Birmingham City and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stoke City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Stoke City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham City vs Stoke City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.